Desenvolvimento e a regulação do mercado livre de energia no Brasil
Ano de defesa: | 2017 |
---|---|
Autor(a) principal: | |
Orientador(a): | |
Banca de defesa: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Tipo de acesso: | Acesso aberto |
Idioma: | por |
Instituição de defesa: |
Universidade Federal de Santa Maria
Centro de Tecnologia |
Programa de Pós-Graduação: |
Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia de Produção
|
Departamento: |
Engenharia de Produção
|
País: |
Brasil
|
Palavras-chave em Português: | |
Palavras-chave em Inglês: | |
Área do conhecimento CNPq: | |
Link de acesso: | http://repositorio.ufsm.br/handle/1/13642 |
Resumo: | The development of the Free Energy Market in Brazil gained considerable importance due to a series of recent transformations in Brazilian politics. For a long time, investments were not made in this sector, causing a delay in the energy matrix of Brazil. As a result, the government sought an alternative to change the sector’s deficit, attract new investors and promote capitalist price competition. The regulation provided by law aimed at framing Brazil in the policy of the free market of energy, giving the freedom of companies to fit in requirements that allow to consume electricity of other generating companies, either by means of celebration of exclusive contracts, called captives, or by buying at auctions of competition managed by legislators of the sector and also by the leftover market energy, called the free market spot. In this way, this study aimed to present the development of the Brazilian Free Energy Market and to make a comparison between the forecast of the average prices of the settlement of energy differences (PLD) and the values sold in the second half of 2015. For this purpose, From May of 2003 to June of 2015. The study was developed through bibliographical research, of the exploratory and quantitative type. The data were obtained with the aid of information from the Electric Energy Trading Chamber through a time series of the PLD in the free market of electric energy. For the prediction, the multiplicative Holt Winters method was the best fit, among the models studied, to the PLD values, and can be used as a basic reference for consumers and/or power generators related to production scheduling, representing the Reducing costs and providing increased competitiveness for products and services that are produced per hour. |
id |
UFSM-20_25d5cd5af4512dd79bda7afc65e11eef |
---|---|
oai_identifier_str |
oai:repositorio.ufsm.br:1/13642 |
network_acronym_str |
UFSM-20 |
network_name_str |
Manancial - Repositório Digital da UFSM |
repository_id_str |
|
spelling |
2018-07-03T12:58:30Z2018-07-03T12:58:30Z2017-03-06http://repositorio.ufsm.br/handle/1/13642The development of the Free Energy Market in Brazil gained considerable importance due to a series of recent transformations in Brazilian politics. For a long time, investments were not made in this sector, causing a delay in the energy matrix of Brazil. As a result, the government sought an alternative to change the sector’s deficit, attract new investors and promote capitalist price competition. The regulation provided by law aimed at framing Brazil in the policy of the free market of energy, giving the freedom of companies to fit in requirements that allow to consume electricity of other generating companies, either by means of celebration of exclusive contracts, called captives, or by buying at auctions of competition managed by legislators of the sector and also by the leftover market energy, called the free market spot. In this way, this study aimed to present the development of the Brazilian Free Energy Market and to make a comparison between the forecast of the average prices of the settlement of energy differences (PLD) and the values sold in the second half of 2015. For this purpose, From May of 2003 to June of 2015. The study was developed through bibliographical research, of the exploratory and quantitative type. The data were obtained with the aid of information from the Electric Energy Trading Chamber through a time series of the PLD in the free market of electric energy. For the prediction, the multiplicative Holt Winters method was the best fit, among the models studied, to the PLD values, and can be used as a basic reference for consumers and/or power generators related to production scheduling, representing the Reducing costs and providing increased competitiveness for products and services that are produced per hour.O desenvolvimento do Mercado Livre de Energia no Brasil ganhou notória importância em virtude de uma série de transformações recentes na política brasileira. Durante muito tempo, investimentos não foram realizados neste setor, ocasionando um atraso na matriz energética do Brasil. Com isso, o governo buscou alternativas para modificar o quadro deficitário do setor, atrair novos investidores e promover à concorrência capitalista de preços. A regulação proporcionada por lei objetivou enquadrar o Brasil na política do mercado livre de energia, dando a liberdade de empresas a se enquadrar em requisitos que permitam consumir energia elétrica de outras empresas geradoras, seja por meio de celebração de contratos exclusivos, chamados de cativos, ou pela compra em leilões de concorrência administrados por órgãos legisladores do setor, e ainda, pela sobra de energia do mercado, chamado o spot do mercado livre. Desta forma, este estudo objetivou apresentar o desenvolvimento do Mercado Livre de Energia brasileiro e realizar uma comparação entre a previsão dos preços médios da liquidação das diferenças de energia (PLD) com os valores comercializados no segundo semestre de 2015. Para isso, foram coletados dados de maio de 2003 a junho de 2015. O estudo foi desenvolvido por meio de pesquisa bibliográfica, do tipo exploratório e quantitativo. Os dados foram obtidos com o auxílio de informações da Câmara de Comercialização de Energia Elétrica por meio de uma série temporal do PLD no mercado livre de energia elétrica. Utilizou-se para a previsão, o método de Holt Winters multiplicativo, sendo o melhor ajuste entre os modelos estudados, aos valores do PLD, podendo ser utilizado como referência básica para os consumidores e/ou geradores de energia afim da programação de produção, representando a redução de custos e proporcionando aumento de competitividade para produtos e serviços que por hora sejam produzidos.porUniversidade Federal de Santa MariaCentro de TecnologiaPrograma de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia de ProduçãoUFSMBrasilEngenharia de ProduçãoAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessMercado livre de energiaPreço médio da liquidação das diferençasHolt winters multiplicativoFree energy marketAverage price of differences settlementHolt winters multiplicativeCNPQ::ENGENHARIAS::ENGENHARIA DE PRODUCAODesenvolvimento e a regulação do mercado livre de energia no BrasilDevelopment and regulation free energy market in Brazilinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisZanini, Roselaine Ruviarohttp://lattes.cnpq.br/4332331006565656Souza, Adriano Mendonçahttp://lattes.cnpq.br/6492128261345919Vicini, Lorenahttp://lattes.cnpq.br/8676745244195312http://lattes.cnpq.br/3237459538915875Silva, Vinícius Radetzke da300800000005600b5af5cd4-250e-4e42-8491-f0c3fd2656f50fe506fd-8e23-4bb3-9748-d0e59b75564e6d3ff5eb-4c65-4863-bc39-5de8ce2a29e962b98be5-110a-4ff4-a30e-8dd852782bbdreponame:Manancial - Repositório Digital da UFSMinstname:Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM)instacron:UFSMLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81956http://repositorio.ufsm.br/bitstream/1/13642/3/license.txt2f0571ecee68693bd5cd3f17c1e075dfMD53CC-LICENSElicense_rdflicense_rdfapplication/rdf+xml; charset=utf-8804http://repositorio.ufsm.br/bitstream/1/13642/2/license_rdfc1efe8e24d7281448e873be30ea326ffMD52ORIGINALDIS_PPGEP_2017_SILVA_VINICIUS.pdfDIS_PPGEP_2017_SILVA_VINICIUS.pdfDissertação de Mestradoapplication/pdf3662182http://repositorio.ufsm.br/bitstream/1/13642/1/DIS_PPGEP_2017_SILVA_VINICIUS.pdf60a3ab575a0582579984e9180820a230MD51TEXTDIS_PPGEP_2017_SILVA_VINICIUS.pdf.txtDIS_PPGEP_2017_SILVA_VINICIUS.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain206846http://repositorio.ufsm.br/bitstream/1/13642/4/DIS_PPGEP_2017_SILVA_VINICIUS.pdf.txteab321d85f73b9017e549d3047f79a9aMD54THUMBNAILDIS_PPGEP_2017_SILVA_VINICIUS.pdf.jpgDIS_PPGEP_2017_SILVA_VINICIUS.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg3169http://repositorio.ufsm.br/bitstream/1/13642/5/DIS_PPGEP_2017_SILVA_VINICIUS.pdf.jpg8a447ca6a037f2c8b06cfedc401e45b7MD551/136422018-07-03 09:58:30.745oai:repositorio.ufsm.br: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ório Institucionalhttp://repositorio.ufsm.br/PUBhttp://repositorio.ufsm.br/oai/requestopendoar:39132018-07-03T12:58:30Manancial - Repositório Digital da UFSM - Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM)false |
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv |
Desenvolvimento e a regulação do mercado livre de energia no Brasil |
dc.title.alternative.eng.fl_str_mv |
Development and regulation free energy market in Brazil |
title |
Desenvolvimento e a regulação do mercado livre de energia no Brasil |
spellingShingle |
Desenvolvimento e a regulação do mercado livre de energia no Brasil Silva, Vinícius Radetzke da Mercado livre de energia Preço médio da liquidação das diferenças Holt winters multiplicativo Free energy market Average price of differences settlement Holt winters multiplicative CNPQ::ENGENHARIAS::ENGENHARIA DE PRODUCAO |
title_short |
Desenvolvimento e a regulação do mercado livre de energia no Brasil |
title_full |
Desenvolvimento e a regulação do mercado livre de energia no Brasil |
title_fullStr |
Desenvolvimento e a regulação do mercado livre de energia no Brasil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Desenvolvimento e a regulação do mercado livre de energia no Brasil |
title_sort |
Desenvolvimento e a regulação do mercado livre de energia no Brasil |
author |
Silva, Vinícius Radetzke da |
author_facet |
Silva, Vinícius Radetzke da |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Zanini, Roselaine Ruviaro |
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/4332331006565656 |
dc.contributor.referee1.fl_str_mv |
Souza, Adriano Mendonça |
dc.contributor.referee1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/6492128261345919 |
dc.contributor.referee2.fl_str_mv |
Vicini, Lorena |
dc.contributor.referee2Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/8676745244195312 |
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/3237459538915875 |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Silva, Vinícius Radetzke da |
contributor_str_mv |
Zanini, Roselaine Ruviaro Souza, Adriano Mendonça Vicini, Lorena |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Mercado livre de energia Preço médio da liquidação das diferenças Holt winters multiplicativo |
topic |
Mercado livre de energia Preço médio da liquidação das diferenças Holt winters multiplicativo Free energy market Average price of differences settlement Holt winters multiplicative CNPQ::ENGENHARIAS::ENGENHARIA DE PRODUCAO |
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv |
Free energy market Average price of differences settlement Holt winters multiplicative |
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
CNPQ::ENGENHARIAS::ENGENHARIA DE PRODUCAO |
description |
The development of the Free Energy Market in Brazil gained considerable importance due to a series of recent transformations in Brazilian politics. For a long time, investments were not made in this sector, causing a delay in the energy matrix of Brazil. As a result, the government sought an alternative to change the sector’s deficit, attract new investors and promote capitalist price competition. The regulation provided by law aimed at framing Brazil in the policy of the free market of energy, giving the freedom of companies to fit in requirements that allow to consume electricity of other generating companies, either by means of celebration of exclusive contracts, called captives, or by buying at auctions of competition managed by legislators of the sector and also by the leftover market energy, called the free market spot. In this way, this study aimed to present the development of the Brazilian Free Energy Market and to make a comparison between the forecast of the average prices of the settlement of energy differences (PLD) and the values sold in the second half of 2015. For this purpose, From May of 2003 to June of 2015. The study was developed through bibliographical research, of the exploratory and quantitative type. The data were obtained with the aid of information from the Electric Energy Trading Chamber through a time series of the PLD in the free market of electric energy. For the prediction, the multiplicative Holt Winters method was the best fit, among the models studied, to the PLD values, and can be used as a basic reference for consumers and/or power generators related to production scheduling, representing the Reducing costs and providing increased competitiveness for products and services that are produced per hour. |
publishDate |
2017 |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2017-03-06 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2018-07-03T12:58:30Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2018-07-03T12:58:30Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
format |
masterThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://repositorio.ufsm.br/handle/1/13642 |
url |
http://repositorio.ufsm.br/handle/1/13642 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
300800000005 |
dc.relation.confidence.fl_str_mv |
600 |
dc.relation.authority.fl_str_mv |
b5af5cd4-250e-4e42-8491-f0c3fd2656f5 0fe506fd-8e23-4bb3-9748-d0e59b75564e 6d3ff5eb-4c65-4863-bc39-5de8ce2a29e9 62b98be5-110a-4ff4-a30e-8dd852782bbd |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal de Santa Maria Centro de Tecnologia |
dc.publisher.program.fl_str_mv |
Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia de Produção |
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv |
UFSM |
dc.publisher.country.fl_str_mv |
Brasil |
dc.publisher.department.fl_str_mv |
Engenharia de Produção |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal de Santa Maria Centro de Tecnologia |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Manancial - Repositório Digital da UFSM instname:Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM) instacron:UFSM |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM) |
instacron_str |
UFSM |
institution |
UFSM |
reponame_str |
Manancial - Repositório Digital da UFSM |
collection |
Manancial - Repositório Digital da UFSM |
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv |
http://repositorio.ufsm.br/bitstream/1/13642/3/license.txt http://repositorio.ufsm.br/bitstream/1/13642/2/license_rdf http://repositorio.ufsm.br/bitstream/1/13642/1/DIS_PPGEP_2017_SILVA_VINICIUS.pdf http://repositorio.ufsm.br/bitstream/1/13642/4/DIS_PPGEP_2017_SILVA_VINICIUS.pdf.txt http://repositorio.ufsm.br/bitstream/1/13642/5/DIS_PPGEP_2017_SILVA_VINICIUS.pdf.jpg |
bitstream.checksum.fl_str_mv |
2f0571ecee68693bd5cd3f17c1e075df c1efe8e24d7281448e873be30ea326ff 60a3ab575a0582579984e9180820a230 eab321d85f73b9017e549d3047f79a9a 8a447ca6a037f2c8b06cfedc401e45b7 |
bitstream.checksumAlgorithm.fl_str_mv |
MD5 MD5 MD5 MD5 MD5 |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Manancial - Repositório Digital da UFSM - Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
_version_ |
1801224020069187584 |