Influência da magnitude, da volatilidade e do crescimento da geração de caixa no endividamento das empresas no Brasil

• Ano de defesa: 2018
• Autor(a) principal: Jones, Graciela Dias Coelho
• Orientador(a): Nakamura, Wilson Toshiro
• Banca de defesa: Perera, Luiz Carlos Jacob, Martelanc, Roy, Forte, Denis, Decourt, Roberto Frota
• Tipo de documento: Tese
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: por
• Instituição de defesa: Universidade Presbiteriana Mackenzie
• Programa de Pós-Graduação: Administração de Empresas
• Departamento: Centro de Ciências Sociais e Aplicadas (CCSA)
• País: Brasil
• Palavras-chave em Português: estrutura de capital; endividamento; geração de caixa; teoria do trade-off; teoria trade-off modificada
• Área do conhecimento CNPq: CNPQ::CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ADMINISTRACAO::ADMINISTRACAO DE EMPRESAS
• Link de acesso: http://dspace.mackenzie.br/handle/10899/23311

This paper presents as theme the relation between indebtedness and magnitude, volatility and growth of cash flow throughout time. The objective is to study some approaches on the indebtedness of Brazilian publicly traded companies, analyzing if the magnitude, volatility and the growth of cash flow throughout time have any influence on the indebtedness in Brazil. In addition, a conceptual, theoretical model is presented: the modified Trade-off theory. The Pecking Order theory predicts that there is a negative relation between profitability and indebtedness, and the Trade-off theory predicts that there is a positive relation between profitability and indebtedness. In the modified Trade-off theory discussed herein, the analysis that is being adopted is the relation between indebtedness and cash flow. It is assumed that more profitable companies trend to generate a higher cash amount and this indicates a future cash flow, which as a result increases its indebtedness potential. The dependent variable is the Indebtedness, which adopts the following metrics: Net Debt and Gross Debt, totalizing six tested variables. To measure the cash flow magnitude, the following proxies are used: ROA (Return On Assets), ROIC (Return On Invested Capital) and Market to Book Value, in actual cash values. The cash flow volatility is estimated through the standard deviation of the proxies ROA, ROIC and Market to Book Value. The adopted control variables are the size and tangibility. This paper also tests the interaction between magnitude, volatility and growth of cash flow throughout time. The sample is comprised of the Brazilian publicly traded companies. Data are collected from Economática® and are related to the period from 2008 to 2016, with annual periodicity, of 94 Brazilian publicly traded companies. For data analysis, the Descriptive Statistics, Correlation Analysis and Data Cross Section and Panel are adopted, using the Stata software. The analyses’ results testify the importance of the interaction between growth and magnitude of ROA, ROIC and Market to Book to explain the indebtedness of Brazilian companies as tested in the panels. All of the tested indebtedness types presented herein, except for the net indebtedness, make sense. It was found that the indebtedness of Brazilian companies can be predominantly explained by the magnitude and growth of cash flow rather then volatility. Other important finding is the role of the growth of cash flow as a key determining factor to explain the indebtedness of Brazilian companies.