Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro

Detalhes bibliográficos
Ano de defesa: 2016
Autor(a) principal: Severino, L??lian Santos Marques lattes
Orientador(a): Maldonado, Wilfredo Fernando Leiva lattes
Banca de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
Idioma: por
Instituição de defesa: Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia
Programa de Pós-Graduação: Programa Strictu Sensu em Economia de Empresas
Departamento: Escola de Gest??o e Neg??cios
País: Brasil
Palavras-chave em Português:
Área do conhecimento CNPq:
Resumo em Inglês: This study aims to analyze the behavior of the real estate market in the Brazilian cities of S??o Paulo and Rio de Janeiro from 2008 to 2016 as seen through the analysis of monthly pricing data for both sales and rental markets, apparent consumption, stock of properties, and market return (IBOVESPA). Two models were estimated, the first, the CAPM, aimed at analyzing how return from investment in housing in both cities compared to the market return (IBOVESPA). The second model, the CCAPM was modified to suit the presence of preference for ownership of property. This study concludes that regarding the change-over of the return rates in Rio de Janeiro and S??o Paulo, investment in the housing market in both cities is negatively affected by the change-over of the return in investments on the whole stock market. Moreover, when we include the consumption in the pricing model, there is an intertemporal discount factor for consumption of roughly 0,98 per month for both cities, which confirms that Brazilian real estate buyers are more impatient than their American counterparts, and that the percentage of their income spent on consumption and investment in housing varies from one city to another.
Link de acesso: https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2148
Resumo: This study aims to analyze the behavior of the real estate market in the Brazilian cities of S??o Paulo and Rio de Janeiro from 2008 to 2016 as seen through the analysis of monthly pricing data for both sales and rental markets, apparent consumption, stock of properties, and market return (IBOVESPA). Two models were estimated, the first, the CAPM, aimed at analyzing how return from investment in housing in both cities compared to the market return (IBOVESPA). The second model, the CCAPM was modified to suit the presence of preference for ownership of property. This study concludes that regarding the change-over of the return rates in Rio de Janeiro and S??o Paulo, investment in the housing market in both cities is negatively affected by the change-over of the return in investments on the whole stock market. Moreover, when we include the consumption in the pricing model, there is an intertemporal discount factor for consumption of roughly 0,98 per month for both cities, which confirms that Brazilian real estate buyers are more impatient than their American counterparts, and that the percentage of their income spent on consumption and investment in housing varies from one city to another.
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spelling Maldonado, Wilfredo Fernando Leivahttp://lattes.cnpq.br/2898705867805713http://lattes.cnpq.br/1147563699948673Severino, L??lian Santos Marques2017-06-12T14:43:48Z2016-12-16SEVERINO, L??lian Santos Marques. Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro. 2016. 47 f. Disserta????o (Programa Stricto Sensu em Economia de Empresas) - Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia, Bras??lia, 2016.https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2148This study aims to analyze the behavior of the real estate market in the Brazilian cities of S??o Paulo and Rio de Janeiro from 2008 to 2016 as seen through the analysis of monthly pricing data for both sales and rental markets, apparent consumption, stock of properties, and market return (IBOVESPA). Two models were estimated, the first, the CAPM, aimed at analyzing how return from investment in housing in both cities compared to the market return (IBOVESPA). The second model, the CCAPM was modified to suit the presence of preference for ownership of property. This study concludes that regarding the change-over of the return rates in Rio de Janeiro and S??o Paulo, investment in the housing market in both cities is negatively affected by the change-over of the return in investments on the whole stock market. Moreover, when we include the consumption in the pricing model, there is an intertemporal discount factor for consumption of roughly 0,98 per month for both cities, which confirms that Brazilian real estate buyers are more impatient than their American counterparts, and that the percentage of their income spent on consumption and investment in housing varies from one city to another.O presente trabalho trata do comportamento do mercado imobili??rio nas cidades de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro no per??odo de 2008 a 2016, analisando dados mensais de pre??os de venda e de aluguel de im??veis, consumo aparente, estoque de im??veis e taxa de retorno de mercado (IBOVESPA). Foram estimados dois modelos, o primeiro, o CAPM, visou analisar o comportamento do retorno do investimento imobili??rio das duas localidades em rela????o ao retorno de mercado e o segundo modelo, o CCAPM modificado para exist??ncia de prefer??ncias pela propriedade de im??veis. O estudo conclui, em rela????o ??s taxas de retorno, que a varia????o do investimento no mercado imobili??rio, tanto no Rio de Janeiro quanto em S??o Paulo, ?? afetada de forma negativa pela varia????o do retorno de mercado. Al??m disso, quando inclui o consumo no modelo de precifica????o, observa-se um fator de desconto intertemporal do consumo em torno de 0,98 ao m??s para as duas cidades, confirmando que o consumidor brasileiro ?? mais impaciente que o americano, e que os percentuais da sua renda destinada ao consumo e ao investimento imobili??rio diferem de uma cidade para a outra.Submitted by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2017-06-12T14:43:29Z No. of bitstreams: 1 LilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf: 852227 bytes, checksum: a6811612b93a51167387d223e191b16c (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2017-06-12T14:43:48Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 LilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf: 852227 bytes, checksum: a6811612b93a51167387d223e191b16c (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2017-06-12T14:43:48Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 LilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf: 852227 bytes, checksum: a6811612b93a51167387d223e191b16c (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-12-16application/pdfhttps://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/retrieve/4652/LilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf.jpgporUniversidade Cat??lica de Bras??liaPrograma Strictu Sensu em Economia de EmpresasUCBBrasilEscola de Gest??o e Neg??ciosFinan??asMercado imobili??rioCapital Asset Pricing ModelConsumption Based Capital Asset Pricing ModelCIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIAModelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiroinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis-1139962560771343510500500600-1917891883403718704-2504903392600098822info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UCBinstname:Universidade Católica de Brasíliainstacron:UCBTHUMBNAILLilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf.jpgLilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf.jpgimage/jpeg5556https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2148/3/LilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf.jpg3f26e4c8ba80ae4b24cd93555ff53e80MD53ORIGINALLilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdfLilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdfapplication/pdf852227https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2148/2/LilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdfa6811612b93a51167387d223e191b16cMD52LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82048https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2148/1/license.txt76cd1e6bdecb11e4b12c81d5fe0f87b3MD51tede/2148oai:bdtd.ucb.br:tede/21482017-06-13 01:03:10.619Biblioteca Digital de Disserta????es da Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia - UCBsdi@ucb.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
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro
title Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro
spellingShingle Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro
Severino, L??lian Santos Marques
Finan??as
Mercado imobili??rio
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Consumption Based Capital Asset Pricing Model
CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA
title_short Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro
title_full Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro
title_fullStr Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro
title_full_unstemmed Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro
title_sort Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro
author Severino, L??lian Santos Marques
author_facet Severino, L??lian Santos Marques
author_role author
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Maldonado, Wilfredo Fernando Leiva
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/2898705867805713
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/1147563699948673
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Severino, L??lian Santos Marques
contributor_str_mv Maldonado, Wilfredo Fernando Leiva
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Finan??as
Mercado imobili??rio
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Consumption Based Capital Asset Pricing Model
topic Finan??as
Mercado imobili??rio
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Consumption Based Capital Asset Pricing Model
CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA
dc.description.abstract.eng.fl_txt_mv This study aims to analyze the behavior of the real estate market in the Brazilian cities of S??o Paulo and Rio de Janeiro from 2008 to 2016 as seen through the analysis of monthly pricing data for both sales and rental markets, apparent consumption, stock of properties, and market return (IBOVESPA). Two models were estimated, the first, the CAPM, aimed at analyzing how return from investment in housing in both cities compared to the market return (IBOVESPA). The second model, the CCAPM was modified to suit the presence of preference for ownership of property. This study concludes that regarding the change-over of the return rates in Rio de Janeiro and S??o Paulo, investment in the housing market in both cities is negatively affected by the change-over of the return in investments on the whole stock market. Moreover, when we include the consumption in the pricing model, there is an intertemporal discount factor for consumption of roughly 0,98 per month for both cities, which confirms that Brazilian real estate buyers are more impatient than their American counterparts, and that the percentage of their income spent on consumption and investment in housing varies from one city to another.
dc.description.abstract.por.fl_txt_mv O presente trabalho trata do comportamento do mercado imobili??rio nas cidades de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro no per??odo de 2008 a 2016, analisando dados mensais de pre??os de venda e de aluguel de im??veis, consumo aparente, estoque de im??veis e taxa de retorno de mercado (IBOVESPA). Foram estimados dois modelos, o primeiro, o CAPM, visou analisar o comportamento do retorno do investimento imobili??rio das duas localidades em rela????o ao retorno de mercado e o segundo modelo, o CCAPM modificado para exist??ncia de prefer??ncias pela propriedade de im??veis. O estudo conclui, em rela????o ??s taxas de retorno, que a varia????o do investimento no mercado imobili??rio, tanto no Rio de Janeiro quanto em S??o Paulo, ?? afetada de forma negativa pela varia????o do retorno de mercado. Al??m disso, quando inclui o consumo no modelo de precifica????o, observa-se um fator de desconto intertemporal do consumo em torno de 0,98 ao m??s para as duas cidades, confirmando que o consumidor brasileiro ?? mais impaciente que o americano, e que os percentuais da sua renda destinada ao consumo e ao investimento imobili??rio diferem de uma cidade para a outra.
description This study aims to analyze the behavior of the real estate market in the Brazilian cities of S??o Paulo and Rio de Janeiro from 2008 to 2016 as seen through the analysis of monthly pricing data for both sales and rental markets, apparent consumption, stock of properties, and market return (IBOVESPA). Two models were estimated, the first, the CAPM, aimed at analyzing how return from investment in housing in both cities compared to the market return (IBOVESPA). The second model, the CCAPM was modified to suit the presence of preference for ownership of property. This study concludes that regarding the change-over of the return rates in Rio de Janeiro and S??o Paulo, investment in the housing market in both cities is negatively affected by the change-over of the return in investments on the whole stock market. Moreover, when we include the consumption in the pricing model, there is an intertemporal discount factor for consumption of roughly 0,98 per month for both cities, which confirms that Brazilian real estate buyers are more impatient than their American counterparts, and that the percentage of their income spent on consumption and investment in housing varies from one city to another.
publishDate 2016
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2016-12-16
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2017-06-12T14:43:48Z
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dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv SEVERINO, L??lian Santos Marques. Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro. 2016. 47 f. Disserta????o (Programa Stricto Sensu em Economia de Empresas) - Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia, Bras??lia, 2016.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2148
identifier_str_mv SEVERINO, L??lian Santos Marques. Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro. 2016. 47 f. Disserta????o (Programa Stricto Sensu em Economia de Empresas) - Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia, Bras??lia, 2016.
url https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2148
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dc.publisher.program.fl_str_mv Programa Strictu Sensu em Economia de Empresas
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv UCB
dc.publisher.country.fl_str_mv Brasil
dc.publisher.department.fl_str_mv Escola de Gest??o e Neg??cios
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