Análise preditiva de Churn com ênfase em técnicas de Machine Learning: uma revisão

Detalhes bibliográficos
Ano de defesa: 2016
Autor(a) principal: Schneider, Pedro Henrique
Orientador(a): Souza, Renato Rocha
Banca de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
Idioma: por
Instituição de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Programa de Pós-Graduação: Não Informado pela instituição
Departamento: Não Informado pela instituição
País: Não Informado pela instituição
Palavras-chave em Português:
Link de acesso: http://hdl.handle.net/10438/17269
Resumo: In the last two decades, the growth of the Internet and its associated technologies, are transforming the way of the relationship between companies and their clients. In general, the acquisition of a new customer is much more expensive for a company than the retention of a current one. Thus, customer retention studies or Churn management has become more important for companies. This study represents the review and classi cation of literature on applications of Machine Learning techniques to build predictive models of customers loss, also called Churn. The objective of this study was collecting the largest possible number of documents on the subject within the proposed methodology and classi es them as per application areas, year of publication, Machine Learning techniques applied, journals and repositories used and in uence level of the documents. And thus, bringing to the light the existing studies in this eld of activity, consolidating what is the state of the art of research in this area, and signi cantly contribute as a reference for future applications and researches in this area. Although, the study has not been the rst in the literature of Machine Learning related to the loss of customer or customer retention in the way of literature review, it was the rst, among the ones we have found, with focus on documents studying, not exclusively, loss or retention of customers by Machine Learning techniques, and without any kind of restriction. Furthermore it was the rst to classify documents by in uence, through the quotations from each document. As a nal database was collected and analyzed 80 documents, from which were found as main application areas: Telecommunications, Financial, Newspapers, Retail, among others. As per Machine Learning techniques applied, the most applied techniques founded related to the problem, were the following: Logistic Regression, Decision Tree and Neural Networks, among others. And based on the results, this kind of study is dated since 2000.
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spelling Schneider, Pedro HenriqueEscolas::EMApBranco, Antônio Carlos SaraivaSilva, Moacyr Alvim Horta Barbosa daEvsukoff, Alexandre GonçalvesSouza, Renato Rocha2016-10-17T16:18:27Z2016-10-17T16:18:27Z2016-07-27SCHNEIDER, Pedro Henrique. Análise preditiva de Churn com ênfase em técnicas de Machine Learning: uma revisão. Dissertação (Mestrado em Matemática Aplicada) - Escola de Matemática Aplicada, Fundação Getúlio Vargas - FGV, Rio de Janeiro, 2016.http://hdl.handle.net/10438/17269In the last two decades, the growth of the Internet and its associated technologies, are transforming the way of the relationship between companies and their clients. In general, the acquisition of a new customer is much more expensive for a company than the retention of a current one. Thus, customer retention studies or Churn management has become more important for companies. This study represents the review and classi cation of literature on applications of Machine Learning techniques to build predictive models of customers loss, also called Churn. The objective of this study was collecting the largest possible number of documents on the subject within the proposed methodology and classi es them as per application areas, year of publication, Machine Learning techniques applied, journals and repositories used and in uence level of the documents. And thus, bringing to the light the existing studies in this eld of activity, consolidating what is the state of the art of research in this area, and signi cantly contribute as a reference for future applications and researches in this area. Although, the study has not been the rst in the literature of Machine Learning related to the loss of customer or customer retention in the way of literature review, it was the rst, among the ones we have found, with focus on documents studying, not exclusively, loss or retention of customers by Machine Learning techniques, and without any kind of restriction. Furthermore it was the rst to classify documents by in uence, through the quotations from each document. As a nal database was collected and analyzed 80 documents, from which were found as main application areas: Telecommunications, Financial, Newspapers, Retail, among others. As per Machine Learning techniques applied, the most applied techniques founded related to the problem, were the following: Logistic Regression, Decision Tree and Neural Networks, among others. And based on the results, this kind of study is dated since 2000.Nas últimas duas décadas, o crescimento da internet e suas tecnologias associadas, vêm transformando a forma de relacionamento entre as empresas e seus clientes. Em geral, a aquisição de um novo cliente custa muito mais caro para uma empresa que a retenção do mesmo. Desta forma, estudos de retenção de clientes, ou gerenciamento do Churn, se tornaram mais importantes para as empresas. O presente trabalho consiste na revisão e classificação da literatura sobre aplicações de técnicas com ênfase em Machine Learning para construir modelos preditivos de perda de clientes, também chamada de Churn. O objetivo do trabalho foi reunir o maior número possível de documentos sobre o assunto, dentro da metodologia proposta, e classificá-los quanto às áreas de aplicação, ano de publicação, técnicas de Machine Learning aplicadas, periódicos e repositórios utilizados, nível de influência dos documentos e desta forma trazer à luz os estudos já existentes nesse campo de atuação, consolidando o que há do estado da arte em pesquisas desta área, e de forma significativa contribuir como uma referência para futuras aplicações e pesquisas nesta área. Embora o trabalho não tenha sido o primeiro na literatura de Machine Learning relacionado a perda ou retenção de clientes na linha de revisão literária, foi o primeiro encontrado com foco em documentos que estudam, não exclusivamente, a perda ou retenção de clientes por técnicas de Machine Learning e sem nenhum tipo de restrições. Da mesma forma foi o primeiro a classificar os documentos por influência através das citações entre os documentos. Assim, como base final para o trabalho, analisou-se 80 documentos, onde foram encontradas como principais áreas de aplicação: Telecomunicações, Financeiras, Jornais, Varejo entre outras. Constataram-se como técnicas de Machine Learning mais utilizadas para o problema em questão: Regressão Logística, Árvores de Decisão e Redes Neurais, entre outras. E ainda, de acordo com os resultados obtidos, notou-se que ano 2000 tende a ser um marco para esta pesquisa, pois foi a data mais antiga para a qual foi encontrado um artigo nesse trabalho.porChurnAnálise Preditiva de ChurnRetenção de clientesMachine learningAprendizagem de máquinaData miningMineração de dadosRevisãoMatemáticaMineração de dados (Computação)Aprendizado do computadorAnálise preditiva de Churn com ênfase em técnicas de Machine Learning: uma revisãoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisreponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessTEXTDissertação de Mestrado versB - Pedro Schneider.pdf.txtDissertação de Mestrado versB - Pedro Schneider.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain102868https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/44cbdd68-1796-4d94-996b-d863b8216975/download758ff3518039dcced8fe8c6d60e1da58MD57ORIGINALDissertação de Mestrado versB - Pedro 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
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv Análise preditiva de Churn com ênfase em técnicas de Machine Learning: uma revisão
title Análise preditiva de Churn com ênfase em técnicas de Machine Learning: uma revisão
spellingShingle Análise preditiva de Churn com ênfase em técnicas de Machine Learning: uma revisão
Schneider, Pedro Henrique
Churn
Análise Preditiva de Churn
Retenção de clientes
Machine learning
Aprendizagem de máquina
Data mining
Mineração de dados
Revisão
Matemática
Mineração de dados (Computação)
Aprendizado do computador
title_short Análise preditiva de Churn com ênfase em técnicas de Machine Learning: uma revisão
title_full Análise preditiva de Churn com ênfase em técnicas de Machine Learning: uma revisão
title_fullStr Análise preditiva de Churn com ênfase em técnicas de Machine Learning: uma revisão
title_full_unstemmed Análise preditiva de Churn com ênfase em técnicas de Machine Learning: uma revisão
title_sort Análise preditiva de Churn com ênfase em técnicas de Machine Learning: uma revisão
author Schneider, Pedro Henrique
author_facet Schneider, Pedro Henrique
author_role author
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv Escolas::EMAp
dc.contributor.member.none.fl_str_mv Branco, Antônio Carlos Saraiva
Silva, Moacyr Alvim Horta Barbosa da
Evsukoff, Alexandre Gonçalves
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Schneider, Pedro Henrique
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Souza, Renato Rocha
contributor_str_mv Souza, Renato Rocha
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Churn
Análise Preditiva de Churn
Retenção de clientes
Machine learning
Aprendizagem de máquina
Data mining
Mineração de dados
Revisão
topic Churn
Análise Preditiva de Churn
Retenção de clientes
Machine learning
Aprendizagem de máquina
Data mining
Mineração de dados
Revisão
Matemática
Mineração de dados (Computação)
Aprendizado do computador
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv Matemática
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv Mineração de dados (Computação)
Aprendizado do computador
description In the last two decades, the growth of the Internet and its associated technologies, are transforming the way of the relationship between companies and their clients. In general, the acquisition of a new customer is much more expensive for a company than the retention of a current one. Thus, customer retention studies or Churn management has become more important for companies. This study represents the review and classi cation of literature on applications of Machine Learning techniques to build predictive models of customers loss, also called Churn. The objective of this study was collecting the largest possible number of documents on the subject within the proposed methodology and classi es them as per application areas, year of publication, Machine Learning techniques applied, journals and repositories used and in uence level of the documents. And thus, bringing to the light the existing studies in this eld of activity, consolidating what is the state of the art of research in this area, and signi cantly contribute as a reference for future applications and researches in this area. Although, the study has not been the rst in the literature of Machine Learning related to the loss of customer or customer retention in the way of literature review, it was the rst, among the ones we have found, with focus on documents studying, not exclusively, loss or retention of customers by Machine Learning techniques, and without any kind of restriction. Furthermore it was the rst to classify documents by in uence, through the quotations from each document. As a nal database was collected and analyzed 80 documents, from which were found as main application areas: Telecommunications, Financial, Newspapers, Retail, among others. As per Machine Learning techniques applied, the most applied techniques founded related to the problem, were the following: Logistic Regression, Decision Tree and Neural Networks, among others. And based on the results, this kind of study is dated since 2000.
publishDate 2016
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2016-10-17T16:18:27Z
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dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv SCHNEIDER, Pedro Henrique. Análise preditiva de Churn com ênfase em técnicas de Machine Learning: uma revisão. Dissertação (Mestrado em Matemática Aplicada) - Escola de Matemática Aplicada, Fundação Getúlio Vargas - FGV, Rio de Janeiro, 2016.
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identifier_str_mv SCHNEIDER, Pedro Henrique. Análise preditiva de Churn com ênfase em técnicas de Machine Learning: uma revisão. Dissertação (Mestrado em Matemática Aplicada) - Escola de Matemática Aplicada, Fundação Getúlio Vargas - FGV, Rio de Janeiro, 2016.
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