Brazil’s 2014 presidential elections: the interconnection between election news and stock market behavior

Detalhes bibliográficos
Ano de defesa: 2016
Autor(a) principal: Werth, Luca Camilla
Orientador(a): Mergulhão, João de Mendonça
Banca de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
Idioma: eng
Instituição de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Programa de Pós-Graduação: Não Informado pela instituição
Departamento: Não Informado pela instituição
País: Não Informado pela instituição
Palavras-chave em Português:
Notícias políticas em finanças
Estudos de evento
Retornos anormais
Eleições brasileiras
Palavras-chave em Inglês:
Political news in finance
Event study
2014 Brazilian Elections
Abnormal returns
Link de acesso: http://hdl.handle.net/10438/15269
Resumo: This study researches whether there has been abnormal stock market behaviour in Brazil as a consequence of election news (observed via opinion polls), regarding the last Brazilian presidential election, held in October 2014. Via applying event study methodology, the research on the Ibovespa and Petrobras suggests that events in which Rousseff was gaining in share have been subject to negative abnormal returns, and events where Rousseff was loosing in share have led to positive abnormal returns. Moreover, volatility has been significantly elevated during the election period and volume has been found to have slightly increased.
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spelling Werth, Luca CamillaEscolas::EESPSilva, André de CastroTavares, AntonioMergulhão, João de Mendonça2016-02-15T15:01:53Z2016-02-15T15:01:53Z2016-01-19WERTH, Luca Camilla. Brazil’s 2014 presidential elections: the interconnection between election news and stock market behavior. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2016.http://hdl.handle.net/10438/15269This study researches whether there has been abnormal stock market behaviour in Brazil as a consequence of election news (observed via opinion polls), regarding the last Brazilian presidential election, held in October 2014. Via applying event study methodology, the research on the Ibovespa and Petrobras suggests that events in which Rousseff was gaining in share have been subject to negative abnormal returns, and events where Rousseff was loosing in share have led to positive abnormal returns. Moreover, volatility has been significantly elevated during the election period and volume has been found to have slightly increased.Este estudo investiga se houve comportamento anormal no mercado de ações no Brasil decorrente de notícias sobre as últimas eleições presidenciais brasileiras (através da utilização de sondagens), realizadas em outubro de 2014. Utilizando uma metodologia de estudos de evento (event studies), a investigação sobre o Ibovespa e a Petrobras sugere que, nos períodos em que Dilma melhorava a sua posição nas sondagens existiram retornos anormais negativos e, nos períodos em que Rousseff piorava a sua posição, existiram retornos anormais positivos. Além disso, a volatilidade foi bastante elevada durante o período eleitoral tendo o volume de transações aumentado ligeiramente.engPolitical news in financeEvent study2014 Brazilian ElectionsAbnormal returnsNotícias políticas em finançasEstudos de eventoRetornos anormaisEleições brasileirasEconomiaMercado financeiroAções (Finanças)Eleições - BrasilBrazil’s 2014 presidential elections: the interconnection between election news and stock market behaviorinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisreponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessORIGINALThesis_Luca_Werth_IMF_FGV.pdfThesis_Luca_Werth_IMF_FGV.pdfapplication/pdf13602681https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/e9403a8d-b11d-43b9-9a38-bb070a866ab6/download08724741af45a494cd2781c7b14906f7MD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv Brazil’s 2014 presidential elections: the interconnection between election news and stock market behavior
title Brazil’s 2014 presidential elections: the interconnection between election news and stock market behavior
spellingShingle Brazil’s 2014 presidential elections: the interconnection between election news and stock market behavior
Werth, Luca Camilla
Political news in finance
Event study
2014 Brazilian Elections
Abnormal returns
Notícias políticas em finanças
Estudos de evento
Retornos anormais
Eleições brasileiras
Economia
Mercado financeiro
Ações (Finanças)
Eleições - Brasil
title_short Brazil’s 2014 presidential elections: the interconnection between election news and stock market behavior
title_full Brazil’s 2014 presidential elections: the interconnection between election news and stock market behavior
title_fullStr Brazil’s 2014 presidential elections: the interconnection between election news and stock market behavior
title_full_unstemmed Brazil’s 2014 presidential elections: the interconnection between election news and stock market behavior
title_sort Brazil’s 2014 presidential elections: the interconnection between election news and stock market behavior
author Werth, Luca Camilla
author_facet Werth, Luca Camilla
author_role author
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv Escolas::EESP
dc.contributor.member.none.fl_str_mv Silva, André de Castro
Tavares, Antonio
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Werth, Luca Camilla
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Mergulhão, João de Mendonça
contributor_str_mv Mergulhão, João de Mendonça
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv Political news in finance
Event study
2014 Brazilian Elections
Abnormal returns
topic Political news in finance
Event study
2014 Brazilian Elections
Abnormal returns
Notícias políticas em finanças
Estudos de evento
Retornos anormais
Eleições brasileiras
Economia
Mercado financeiro
Ações (Finanças)
Eleições - Brasil
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Notícias políticas em finanças
Estudos de evento
Retornos anormais
Eleições brasileiras
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv Economia
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv Mercado financeiro
Ações (Finanças)
Eleições - Brasil
description This study researches whether there has been abnormal stock market behaviour in Brazil as a consequence of election news (observed via opinion polls), regarding the last Brazilian presidential election, held in October 2014. Via applying event study methodology, the research on the Ibovespa and Petrobras suggests that events in which Rousseff was gaining in share have been subject to negative abnormal returns, and events where Rousseff was loosing in share have led to positive abnormal returns. Moreover, volatility has been significantly elevated during the election period and volume has been found to have slightly increased.
publishDate 2016
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2016-02-15T15:01:53Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2016-02-15T15:01:53Z
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2016-01-19
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv WERTH, Luca Camilla. Brazil’s 2014 presidential elections: the interconnection between election news and stock market behavior. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2016.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10438/15269
identifier_str_mv WERTH, Luca Camilla. Brazil’s 2014 presidential elections: the interconnection between election news and stock market behavior. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2016.
url http://hdl.handle.net/10438/15269
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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