Expectativa do retorno da classe de renda variável no Brasil

Detalhes bibliográficos
Ano de defesa: 2015
Autor(a) principal: Mori, Enzo
Orientador(a): Dana, Samy
Banca de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
Idioma: por
Instituição de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Programa de Pós-Graduação: Não Informado pela instituição
Departamento: Não Informado pela instituição
País: Não Informado pela instituição
Palavras-chave em Português:
CAPM
Grinold e Kroner
Renda variável
Expectativa de retorno
Link de acesso: http://hdl.handle.net/10438/13488
Resumo: This work seeks to find out which model (CAPM and Grinold and Kroner) is the best to estimate the return of the Bovespa index, ex-ante. The full index was not used, but a simplified version of the index using the top 25 positions of the index over all quarters from 2000 to 2013. This group has represented more than 60% of the index. In the end, it was observed that the CAPM model was able to present the best explanatory power in both the observed and expected return ratio, as the absolute error measures. The only model that Grinold and Kroner had a better outcome was the mean absolute percentage error.
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spelling Mori, EnzoEscolas::EESPTenani, Paulo SérgioBueno, Rodrigo de Losso da SilveiraDana, Samy2015-03-04T18:44:41Z2015-03-04T18:44:41Z2015-02-03MORI, Enzo. Expectativa do retorno da classe de renda variável no Brasil. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2015.http://hdl.handle.net/10438/13488This work seeks to find out which model (CAPM and Grinold and Kroner) is the best to estimate the return of the Bovespa index, ex-ante. The full index was not used, but a simplified version of the index using the top 25 positions of the index over all quarters from 2000 to 2013. This group has represented more than 60% of the index. In the end, it was observed that the CAPM model was able to present the best explanatory power in both the observed and expected return ratio, as the absolute error measures. The only model that Grinold and Kroner had a better outcome was the mean absolute percentage error.Este trabalho busca descobrir qual modelo (CAPM e Grinold e Kroner) é o melhor para estimar o futuro retorno do índice Bovespa, ex-ante. Não foi utilizado o índice completo, mas uma versão simplificada do índice utilizando as 25 maiores posições do índice ao longo de todos os trimestres desde 2000 até 2013. Este grupo já representava mais de 60% do índice. No final foi observado que o modelo CAPM conseguiu apresentar o melhor poder de explicação tanto na relação retorno observado e esperado, quanto nas medidas de erro absoluto. 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dc.title.por.fl_str_mv Expectativa do retorno da classe de renda variável no Brasil
title Expectativa do retorno da classe de renda variável no Brasil
spellingShingle Expectativa do retorno da classe de renda variável no Brasil
Mori, Enzo
CAPM
Grinold e Kroner
Renda variável
Expectativa de retorno
Economia
Bolsa de valores - Índices
Mercado de capitais - Brasil
Modelo de precificação de ativos
title_short Expectativa do retorno da classe de renda variável no Brasil
title_full Expectativa do retorno da classe de renda variável no Brasil
title_fullStr Expectativa do retorno da classe de renda variável no Brasil
title_full_unstemmed Expectativa do retorno da classe de renda variável no Brasil
title_sort Expectativa do retorno da classe de renda variável no Brasil
author Mori, Enzo
author_facet Mori, Enzo
author_role author
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv Escolas::EESP
dc.contributor.member.none.fl_str_mv Tenani, Paulo Sérgio
Bueno, Rodrigo de Losso da Silveira
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Mori, Enzo
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Dana, Samy
contributor_str_mv Dana, Samy
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv CAPM
Grinold e Kroner
Renda variável
Expectativa de retorno
topic CAPM
Grinold e Kroner
Renda variável
Expectativa de retorno
Economia
Bolsa de valores - Índices
Mercado de capitais - Brasil
Modelo de precificação de ativos
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv Economia
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv Bolsa de valores - Índices
Mercado de capitais - Brasil
Modelo de precificação de ativos
description This work seeks to find out which model (CAPM and Grinold and Kroner) is the best to estimate the return of the Bovespa index, ex-ante. The full index was not used, but a simplified version of the index using the top 25 positions of the index over all quarters from 2000 to 2013. This group has represented more than 60% of the index. In the end, it was observed that the CAPM model was able to present the best explanatory power in both the observed and expected return ratio, as the absolute error measures. The only model that Grinold and Kroner had a better outcome was the mean absolute percentage error.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2015-03-04T18:44:41Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2015-03-04T18:44:41Z
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2015-02-03
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
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dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv MORI, Enzo. Expectativa do retorno da classe de renda variável no Brasil. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2015.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10438/13488
identifier_str_mv MORI, Enzo. Expectativa do retorno da classe de renda variável no Brasil. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2015.
url http://hdl.handle.net/10438/13488
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dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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