O futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanks

Detalhes bibliográficos
Ano de defesa: 2010
Autor(a) principal: Lima, Marlos Correia de
Orientador(a): Marques, Eduardo
Banca de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
Idioma: por
Instituição de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Programa de Pós-Graduação: Não Informado pela instituição
Departamento: Não Informado pela instituição
País: Não Informado pela instituição
Palavras-chave em Português:
Prospectiva
Fundação Getulio Vargas
Incertezas-críticas
Cenários
Think tank
Fundación Getulio Vargas
Incertidumbres-críticas
Escenarios'
Palavras-chave em Inglês:
Prospective
Getulio Vargas Foundation
Critical Uncertainties
Scenarios
Link de acesso: http://hdl.handle.net/10438/9028
Resumo: The objective of this study is to identify prospective criticai uncertainties for think tanks, important information for the elaboration of prospective scenarios for these organizations. A qualitative approach was adopted. Data were collected from literature and from interviews with key executives from Fundação Getulio Vargas and international specialists were analyzed. A theoretical evaluation of the main think tanks definitions and classifications was performed, and the common elements across the definitions were identified and used to construct a suitable think tank definition that was considered in the subsequent phases of the study. The URCA Structural Analysis Model (MARQUES, 1988) was applied to evaluate 21 prospective variables selected from the collected data. The results indicate 8 prospective criticai uncertainties for think tanks: 1) Think tanks internationalization; 2) Agenda globalization; 3) International projection of the nations; 4) Competition among think tanks; 5) Competition between think tanks and ONGs, advisers, web and other information providers; 6) Technical staff; 7) Leading group; and 8) Financiai diversification and sustainability.
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repository_id_str
spelling Lima, Marlos Correia deEscolas::EBAPECavalcanti, Bianor ScelzaMelo, Maria Angela Campello deMarques, Eduardo2012-01-17T13:29:28Z2012-01-17T13:29:28Z2010LIMA, Marlos Correia de. O futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanks. Dissertação (Mestrado em Administração) - Escola Brasileira de Administração Pública e de Empresas, Fundação Getúlio Vargas - FGV, Rio de Janeiro, 2010.http://hdl.handle.net/10438/9028The objective of this study is to identify prospective criticai uncertainties for think tanks, important information for the elaboration of prospective scenarios for these organizations. A qualitative approach was adopted. Data were collected from literature and from interviews with key executives from Fundação Getulio Vargas and international specialists were analyzed. A theoretical evaluation of the main think tanks definitions and classifications was performed, and the common elements across the definitions were identified and used to construct a suitable think tank definition that was considered in the subsequent phases of the study. The URCA Structural Analysis Model (MARQUES, 1988) was applied to evaluate 21 prospective variables selected from the collected data. The results indicate 8 prospective criticai uncertainties for think tanks: 1) Think tanks internationalization; 2) Agenda globalization; 3) International projection of the nations; 4) Competition among think tanks; 5) Competition between think tanks and ONGs, advisers, web and other information providers; 6) Technical staff; 7) Leading group; and 8) Financiai diversification and sustainability.EI objetivo de este trabajo es identificar las incertidumbres-críticas prospectivas para think tanks, un importante subsidio para la elaboración de escenarios prospectivos para esas organizaciones. EI enfoque es cualitativo: los datos, recolectados por medio de bibliografía y entrevistas con ejecutivos estratégicos de la Fundação Getulio Vargas y especialistas internacionales, fueron tratados por el método de Análisis Estructural. Para este fin, se utilizó el Modelo URCA (MARQUES, 1988). Creemos que se trata de un abordaje inédito en el área. La base teórica analiza las definiciones y clasificaciones de think tanks, identifica atributos comunes a tales conceptos y, a partir de esta referencial, presenta la definición think tank objeto de este estudio. A seguir, a partir de los datos recolectados, son descritas 21 variables prospectivas. Esta lista inicial de variables es sometida ai Modelo URCA de Análisis Estructural (MARQUES, 1988), indicando, como resultado, ocho incertidumbrescríticas prospectivas para think tanks: Internacionalización de think tanks; Globalización de la agenda; Proyección internacional de las naciones; Competencia entre think tanks; Competencia de ONGs, consultorías, redes y similares; Cuadro técnico; Cuerpo directivo; y Diversificación y sustentación financieras.O objetivo deste trabalho é identificar as incertezas-críticas prospectivas para fhínk fanks, importante subsídio na elaboração de cenários prospectivos para essas organizações. O enfoque é qualitativo: os dados, coletados por bibliografia e em entrevistas com executivos estratégicos da Fundação Getulio Vargas e especialistas internacionais, foram tratados pelo método da Análise Estrutural. Para tanto, utilizouse o Modelo URCA (MARQUES, 1988). Acredita-se tratar de abordagem inédita na área, pois registro de Análises Prospectivas para thínk tanks não foram localizados. A base teórica analisa diversas definições e classificações de fhínk fanks, identifica atributos comuns a tais conceitos e, a partir deste referencial, apresenta a definição de thínk tank, objeto deste estudo. Em seguida, a partir dos dados coletados, são descritas 21 variáveis prospectivas. Essa lista inicial de variáveis é submetida ao Modelo URCA de Análise Estrutural, gerando, como resultado, oito incertezascríticas prospectivas para thínk fanks: Internacionalização de thínk fanks; Globalização da agenda; Projeção internacional das nações; Concorrência entre thínk tanks; Concorrência de organizações não-governamentais, consultorias, web e similares; Quadro técnico; Corpo dirigente; e Diversificação e sustentação financeiras.porTodo cuidado foi dispensado para respeitar os direitos autorais deste trabalho. Entretanto, caso esta obra aqui depositada seja protegida por direitos autorais externos a esta instituição, contamos com a compreensão do autor e solicitamos que o mesmo faça contato através do Fale Conosco para que possamos tomar as providências cabíveis.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessProspectiveGetulio Vargas FoundationCritical UncertaintiesScenariosProspectivaFundação Getulio VargasIncertezas-críticasCenáriosThink tankFundación Getulio VargasIncertidumbres-críticasEscenarios'Administração de empresasInstitutos de pesquisaProspectivaProcesso decisórioFormulação de políticasPolíticas públicasPlanejamento estratégicoO futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanksinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisreponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas 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
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv O futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanks
title O futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanks
spellingShingle O futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanks
Lima, Marlos Correia de
Prospective
Getulio Vargas Foundation
Critical Uncertainties
Scenarios
Prospectiva
Fundação Getulio Vargas
Incertezas-críticas
Cenários
Think tank
Fundación Getulio Vargas
Incertidumbres-críticas
Escenarios'
Administração de empresas
Institutos de pesquisa
Prospectiva
Processo decisório
Formulação de políticas
Políticas públicas
Planejamento estratégico
title_short O futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanks
title_full O futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanks
title_fullStr O futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanks
title_full_unstemmed O futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanks
title_sort O futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanks
author Lima, Marlos Correia de
author_facet Lima, Marlos Correia de
author_role author
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv Escolas::EBAPE
dc.contributor.member.none.fl_str_mv Cavalcanti, Bianor Scelza
Melo, Maria Angela Campello de
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Lima, Marlos Correia de
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Marques, Eduardo
contributor_str_mv Marques, Eduardo
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv Prospective
Getulio Vargas Foundation
Critical Uncertainties
Scenarios
topic Prospective
Getulio Vargas Foundation
Critical Uncertainties
Scenarios
Prospectiva
Fundação Getulio Vargas
Incertezas-críticas
Cenários
Think tank
Fundación Getulio Vargas
Incertidumbres-críticas
Escenarios'
Administração de empresas
Institutos de pesquisa
Prospectiva
Processo decisório
Formulação de políticas
Políticas públicas
Planejamento estratégico
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Prospectiva
Fundação Getulio Vargas
Incertezas-críticas
Cenários
Think tank
Fundación Getulio Vargas
Incertidumbres-críticas
Escenarios'
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv Administração de empresas
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv Institutos de pesquisa
Prospectiva
Processo decisório
Formulação de políticas
Políticas públicas
Planejamento estratégico
description The objective of this study is to identify prospective criticai uncertainties for think tanks, important information for the elaboration of prospective scenarios for these organizations. A qualitative approach was adopted. Data were collected from literature and from interviews with key executives from Fundação Getulio Vargas and international specialists were analyzed. A theoretical evaluation of the main think tanks definitions and classifications was performed, and the common elements across the definitions were identified and used to construct a suitable think tank definition that was considered in the subsequent phases of the study. The URCA Structural Analysis Model (MARQUES, 1988) was applied to evaluate 21 prospective variables selected from the collected data. The results indicate 8 prospective criticai uncertainties for think tanks: 1) Think tanks internationalization; 2) Agenda globalization; 3) International projection of the nations; 4) Competition among think tanks; 5) Competition between think tanks and ONGs, advisers, web and other information providers; 6) Technical staff; 7) Leading group; and 8) Financiai diversification and sustainability.
publishDate 2010
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2010
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2012-01-17T13:29:28Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2012-01-17T13:29:28Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv LIMA, Marlos Correia de. O futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanks. Dissertação (Mestrado em Administração) - Escola Brasileira de Administração Pública e de Empresas, Fundação Getúlio Vargas - FGV, Rio de Janeiro, 2010.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10438/9028
identifier_str_mv LIMA, Marlos Correia de. O futuro das ideias: análise estrutural & incertezas-críticas prospectivas para think tanks. Dissertação (Mestrado em Administração) - Escola Brasileira de Administração Pública e de Empresas, Fundação Getúlio Vargas - FGV, Rio de Janeiro, 2010.
url http://hdl.handle.net/10438/9028
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language por
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
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dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)
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