Avalia??o de impactos econ?micos de melhorias em transporte no Rio Grande do Sul : uma abordagem com equil?brio geral din?mico
Ano de defesa: | 2018 |
---|---|
Autor(a) principal: | |
Orientador(a): | |
Banca de defesa: | |
Tipo de documento: | Tese |
Tipo de acesso: | Acesso aberto |
Idioma: | por |
Instituição de defesa: |
Pontif?cia Universidade Cat?lica do Rio Grande do Sul
|
Programa de Pós-Graduação: |
Programa de P?s-Gradua??o em Economia do Desenvolvimento
|
Departamento: |
Escola de Neg?cios
|
País: |
Brasil
|
Palavras-chave em Português: | |
Área do conhecimento CNPq: | |
Link de acesso: | http://tede2.pucrs.br/tede2/handle/tede/8225 |
Resumo: | The state of Rio Grande do Sul has a matrix of transport highly concentrated in the modal road and lacking in infrastructure. Therefore, the aim of this thesis was to simulate improvements in the state transport matrix from the reduction in transportation costs, based on the knowledge of the infrastructure scenario of the transportation sector and its regional distribution. Two quantitative exercises were performed using general equilibrium models. In the first, an Input Output Matrix was estimated for the state and regionalized by mesoregion, seeking to verify the economic profile of each region and the use of transport modes. In the second exercise, a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for the state, called MEGARS, was used as a dynamic CGE model to evaluate fiscal and transport policies. The model was shown with great capacity in the generation of results and also in the preservation of local characteristics of the regional economy. The results of the CGE model regarding policy achievements are in line with the empirical literature on the evaluation of improvements in transportation and also demonstrated that the performance of the main macroeconomic variables of the economy of Rio Grande do Sul has improved significantly due to the net effect of the policy of improvements in transportation. transport. The reduction in transport margins has led to a rise in variables such as real GDP growth, exports, real household consumption, aggregate employment, imports, real wages and other costs of the economy in the period 2012-2025. |
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Moraes, Gustavo In?cio dehttp://lattes.cnpq.br/0962998768101675http://lattes.cnpq.br/9634921185663542Gon?alves, Rodrigo da Rocha2018-07-26T13:46:58Z2018-04-27http://tede2.pucrs.br/tede2/handle/tede/8225The state of Rio Grande do Sul has a matrix of transport highly concentrated in the modal road and lacking in infrastructure. Therefore, the aim of this thesis was to simulate improvements in the state transport matrix from the reduction in transportation costs, based on the knowledge of the infrastructure scenario of the transportation sector and its regional distribution. Two quantitative exercises were performed using general equilibrium models. In the first, an Input Output Matrix was estimated for the state and regionalized by mesoregion, seeking to verify the economic profile of each region and the use of transport modes. In the second exercise, a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for the state, called MEGARS, was used as a dynamic CGE model to evaluate fiscal and transport policies. The model was shown with great capacity in the generation of results and also in the preservation of local characteristics of the regional economy. The results of the CGE model regarding policy achievements are in line with the empirical literature on the evaluation of improvements in transportation and also demonstrated that the performance of the main macroeconomic variables of the economy of Rio Grande do Sul has improved significantly due to the net effect of the policy of improvements in transportation. transport. The reduction in transport margins has led to a rise in variables such as real GDP growth, exports, real household consumption, aggregate employment, imports, real wages and other costs of the economy in the period 2012-2025.O estado do Rio Grande do Sul possui uma matriz de transportes altamente concentrada no modal rodovi?rio e carente de infraestrutura. Por isso, o objetivo desta tese foi simular melhorias na matriz de transporte estadual, a partir da redu??o nos custos de transportes, tendo como base o conhecimento do cen?rio da infraestrutura do setor transporte e sua distribui??o regional. Foram realizados dois exerc?cios quantitativos, utilizando modelos de equil?brio geral. No primeiro, foi estimada uma Matriz Insumo Produto para o estado e regionalizada por mesorregi?o, buscando verificar o perfil econ?mico de cada regi?o e a utiliza??o dos modais de transporte. No segundo exerc?cio, foi adaptado um modelo de equil?brio geral comput?vel din?mico para o estado, denominado MEGARS, um modelo de EGC din?mico voltado para avalia??o de pol?ticas fiscais e de transporte. O modelo mostrou-se com grande capacidade na gera??o de resultados e tamb?m na preserva??o de caracter?sticas locais da economia regional. Os resultados do modelo de EGC, no tocante a feitos da pol?tica, est?o de acordo com a literatura emp?rica de avalia??o de melhorias em transporte e demonstraram ainda que a performance das principais vari?veis macroecon?micas da economia ga?cha melhoraram significativamente em virtude do efeito l?quido da pol?tica de melhorias de transporte. A redu??o das margens de transporte proporcionou uma eleva??o de vari?veis como crescimento do PIB real, exporta??es, consumo real das fam?lias, emprego agregado, importa??es, sal?rio real e outros custos da economia no per?odo compreendido entre 2012-2025.Submitted by PPG Economia do desenvolvimento (economia-pg@pucrs.br) on 2018-07-20T13:24:48Z No. of bitstreams: 1 RODRIGO_DA_ROCHA_GON?ALVES.pdf: 3384493 bytes, checksum: a40f52500fe33f85388ab08802e0b5f9 (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Sheila Dias (sheila.dias@pucrs.br) on 2018-07-26T13:36:37Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 RODRIGO_DA_ROCHA_GON?ALVES.pdf: 3384493 bytes, checksum: a40f52500fe33f85388ab08802e0b5f9 (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2018-07-26T13:46:58Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 RODRIGO_DA_ROCHA_GON?ALVES.pdf: 3384493 bytes, checksum: a40f52500fe33f85388ab08802e0b5f9 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2018-04-27Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior - CAPESapplication/pdfhttp://tede2.pucrs.br:80/tede2/retrieve/172903/RODRIGO_DA_ROCHA_GON%c3%87ALVES.pdf.jpgporPontif?cia Universidade Cat?lica do Rio Grande do SulPrograma de P?s-Gradua??o em Economia do DesenvolvimentoPUCRSBrasilEscola de Neg?ciosTransporteMelhorias em TransporteModelos de Equil?brio GeralRio Grande do SulCIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIAAvalia??o de impactos econ?micos de melhorias em transporte no Rio Grande do Sul : uma abordagem com equil?brio geral din?micoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesisTrabalho n?o apresenta restri??o para publica??o-5405171042897922792500500500600944455694546435801-25049033926000988222075167498588264571info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da PUC_RSinstname:Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio Grande do Sul (PUCRS)instacron:PUC_RSTHUMBNAILRODRIGO_DA_ROCHA_GON?ALVES.pdf.jpgRODRIGO_DA_ROCHA_GON?ALVES.pdf.jpgimage/jpeg5657http://tede2.pucrs.br/tede2/bitstream/tede/8225/3/RODRIGO_DA_ROCHA_GON%C3%87ALVES.pdf.jpgfbf2de6e828d563b5ac1aa889f742458MD53TEXTRODRIGO_DA_ROCHA_GON?ALVES.pdf.txtRODRIGO_DA_ROCHA_GON?ALVES.pdf.txttext/plain409804http://tede2.pucrs.br/tede2/bitstream/tede/8225/4/RODRIGO_DA_ROCHA_GON%C3%87ALVES.pdf.txt5d11efc2556cd95ea5c0ed956aa14851MD54ORIGINALRODRIGO_DA_ROCHA_GON?ALVES.pdfRODRIGO_DA_ROCHA_GON?ALVES.pdfapplication/pdf3384493http://tede2.pucrs.br/tede2/bitstream/tede/8225/2/RODRIGO_DA_ROCHA_GON%C3%87ALVES.pdfa40f52500fe33f85388ab08802e0b5f9MD52LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-8610http://tede2.pucrs.br/tede2/bitstream/tede/8225/1/license.txt5a9d6006225b368ef605ba16b4f6d1beMD51tede/82252018-07-26 20:00:59.029oai:tede2.pucrs.br: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Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertaçõeshttp://tede2.pucrs.br/tede2/PRIhttps://tede2.pucrs.br/oai/requestbiblioteca.central@pucrs.br||opendoar:2018-07-26T23:00:59Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da PUC_RS - Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio Grande do Sul (PUCRS)false |
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv |
Avalia??o de impactos econ?micos de melhorias em transporte no Rio Grande do Sul : uma abordagem com equil?brio geral din?mico |
title |
Avalia??o de impactos econ?micos de melhorias em transporte no Rio Grande do Sul : uma abordagem com equil?brio geral din?mico |
spellingShingle |
Avalia??o de impactos econ?micos de melhorias em transporte no Rio Grande do Sul : uma abordagem com equil?brio geral din?mico Gon?alves, Rodrigo da Rocha Transporte Melhorias em Transporte Modelos de Equil?brio Geral Rio Grande do Sul CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA |
title_short |
Avalia??o de impactos econ?micos de melhorias em transporte no Rio Grande do Sul : uma abordagem com equil?brio geral din?mico |
title_full |
Avalia??o de impactos econ?micos de melhorias em transporte no Rio Grande do Sul : uma abordagem com equil?brio geral din?mico |
title_fullStr |
Avalia??o de impactos econ?micos de melhorias em transporte no Rio Grande do Sul : uma abordagem com equil?brio geral din?mico |
title_full_unstemmed |
Avalia??o de impactos econ?micos de melhorias em transporte no Rio Grande do Sul : uma abordagem com equil?brio geral din?mico |
title_sort |
Avalia??o de impactos econ?micos de melhorias em transporte no Rio Grande do Sul : uma abordagem com equil?brio geral din?mico |
author |
Gon?alves, Rodrigo da Rocha |
author_facet |
Gon?alves, Rodrigo da Rocha |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Moraes, Gustavo In?cio de |
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/0962998768101675 |
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/9634921185663542 |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Gon?alves, Rodrigo da Rocha |
contributor_str_mv |
Moraes, Gustavo In?cio de |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Transporte Melhorias em Transporte Modelos de Equil?brio Geral Rio Grande do Sul |
topic |
Transporte Melhorias em Transporte Modelos de Equil?brio Geral Rio Grande do Sul CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA |
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA |
description |
The state of Rio Grande do Sul has a matrix of transport highly concentrated in the modal road and lacking in infrastructure. Therefore, the aim of this thesis was to simulate improvements in the state transport matrix from the reduction in transportation costs, based on the knowledge of the infrastructure scenario of the transportation sector and its regional distribution. Two quantitative exercises were performed using general equilibrium models. In the first, an Input Output Matrix was estimated for the state and regionalized by mesoregion, seeking to verify the economic profile of each region and the use of transport modes. In the second exercise, a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for the state, called MEGARS, was used as a dynamic CGE model to evaluate fiscal and transport policies. The model was shown with great capacity in the generation of results and also in the preservation of local characteristics of the regional economy. The results of the CGE model regarding policy achievements are in line with the empirical literature on the evaluation of improvements in transportation and also demonstrated that the performance of the main macroeconomic variables of the economy of Rio Grande do Sul has improved significantly due to the net effect of the policy of improvements in transportation. transport. The reduction in transport margins has led to a rise in variables such as real GDP growth, exports, real household consumption, aggregate employment, imports, real wages and other costs of the economy in the period 2012-2025. |
publishDate |
2018 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2018-07-26T13:46:58Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2018-04-27 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis |
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doctoralThesis |
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publishedVersion |
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http://tede2.pucrs.br/tede2/handle/tede/8225 |
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http://tede2.pucrs.br/tede2/handle/tede/8225 |
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por |
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por |
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500 500 500 600 |
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Pontif?cia Universidade Cat?lica do Rio Grande do Sul |
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Programa de P?s-Gradua??o em Economia do Desenvolvimento |
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PUCRS |
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Brasil |
dc.publisher.department.fl_str_mv |
Escola de Neg?cios |
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Pontif?cia Universidade Cat?lica do Rio Grande do Sul |
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