Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro
Ano de defesa: | 2016 |
---|---|
Autor(a) principal: | |
Orientador(a): | |
Banca de defesa: | |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Tipo de acesso: | Acesso aberto |
Idioma: | por |
Instituição de defesa: |
Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia
|
Programa de Pós-Graduação: |
Programa Strictu Sensu em Economia de Empresas
|
Departamento: |
Escola de Gest??o e Neg??cios
|
País: |
Brasil
|
Palavras-chave em Português: | |
Área do conhecimento CNPq: | |
Resumo em Inglês: | This study aims to analyze the behavior of the real estate market in the Brazilian cities of S??o Paulo and Rio de Janeiro from 2008 to 2016 as seen through the analysis of monthly pricing data for both sales and rental markets, apparent consumption, stock of properties, and market return (IBOVESPA). Two models were estimated, the first, the CAPM, aimed at analyzing how return from investment in housing in both cities compared to the market return (IBOVESPA). The second model, the CCAPM was modified to suit the presence of preference for ownership of property. This study concludes that regarding the change-over of the return rates in Rio de Janeiro and S??o Paulo, investment in the housing market in both cities is negatively affected by the change-over of the return in investments on the whole stock market. Moreover, when we include the consumption in the pricing model, there is an intertemporal discount factor for consumption of roughly 0,98 per month for both cities, which confirms that Brazilian real estate buyers are more impatient than their American counterparts, and that the percentage of their income spent on consumption and investment in housing varies from one city to another. |
Link de acesso: | https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2148 |
Resumo: | This study aims to analyze the behavior of the real estate market in the Brazilian cities of S??o Paulo and Rio de Janeiro from 2008 to 2016 as seen through the analysis of monthly pricing data for both sales and rental markets, apparent consumption, stock of properties, and market return (IBOVESPA). Two models were estimated, the first, the CAPM, aimed at analyzing how return from investment in housing in both cities compared to the market return (IBOVESPA). The second model, the CCAPM was modified to suit the presence of preference for ownership of property. This study concludes that regarding the change-over of the return rates in Rio de Janeiro and S??o Paulo, investment in the housing market in both cities is negatively affected by the change-over of the return in investments on the whole stock market. Moreover, when we include the consumption in the pricing model, there is an intertemporal discount factor for consumption of roughly 0,98 per month for both cities, which confirms that Brazilian real estate buyers are more impatient than their American counterparts, and that the percentage of their income spent on consumption and investment in housing varies from one city to another. |
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Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UCB |
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Maldonado, Wilfredo Fernando Leivahttp://lattes.cnpq.br/2898705867805713http://lattes.cnpq.br/1147563699948673Severino, L??lian Santos Marques2017-06-12T14:43:48Z2016-12-16SEVERINO, L??lian Santos Marques. Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro. 2016. 47 f. Disserta????o (Programa Stricto Sensu em Economia de Empresas) - Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia, Bras??lia, 2016.https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2148This study aims to analyze the behavior of the real estate market in the Brazilian cities of S??o Paulo and Rio de Janeiro from 2008 to 2016 as seen through the analysis of monthly pricing data for both sales and rental markets, apparent consumption, stock of properties, and market return (IBOVESPA). Two models were estimated, the first, the CAPM, aimed at analyzing how return from investment in housing in both cities compared to the market return (IBOVESPA). The second model, the CCAPM was modified to suit the presence of preference for ownership of property. This study concludes that regarding the change-over of the return rates in Rio de Janeiro and S??o Paulo, investment in the housing market in both cities is negatively affected by the change-over of the return in investments on the whole stock market. Moreover, when we include the consumption in the pricing model, there is an intertemporal discount factor for consumption of roughly 0,98 per month for both cities, which confirms that Brazilian real estate buyers are more impatient than their American counterparts, and that the percentage of their income spent on consumption and investment in housing varies from one city to another.O presente trabalho trata do comportamento do mercado imobili??rio nas cidades de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro no per??odo de 2008 a 2016, analisando dados mensais de pre??os de venda e de aluguel de im??veis, consumo aparente, estoque de im??veis e taxa de retorno de mercado (IBOVESPA). Foram estimados dois modelos, o primeiro, o CAPM, visou analisar o comportamento do retorno do investimento imobili??rio das duas localidades em rela????o ao retorno de mercado e o segundo modelo, o CCAPM modificado para exist??ncia de prefer??ncias pela propriedade de im??veis. O estudo conclui, em rela????o ??s taxas de retorno, que a varia????o do investimento no mercado imobili??rio, tanto no Rio de Janeiro quanto em S??o Paulo, ?? afetada de forma negativa pela varia????o do retorno de mercado. Al??m disso, quando inclui o consumo no modelo de precifica????o, observa-se um fator de desconto intertemporal do consumo em torno de 0,98 ao m??s para as duas cidades, confirmando que o consumidor brasileiro ?? mais impaciente que o americano, e que os percentuais da sua renda destinada ao consumo e ao investimento imobili??rio diferem de uma cidade para a outra.Submitted by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2017-06-12T14:43:29Z No. of bitstreams: 1 LilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf: 852227 bytes, checksum: a6811612b93a51167387d223e191b16c (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2017-06-12T14:43:48Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 LilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf: 852227 bytes, checksum: a6811612b93a51167387d223e191b16c (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2017-06-12T14:43:48Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 LilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf: 852227 bytes, checksum: a6811612b93a51167387d223e191b16c (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-12-16application/pdfhttps://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/retrieve/4652/LilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf.jpgporUniversidade Cat??lica de Bras??liaPrograma Strictu Sensu em Economia de EmpresasUCBBrasilEscola de Gest??o e Neg??ciosFinan??asMercado imobili??rioCapital Asset Pricing ModelConsumption Based Capital Asset Pricing ModelCIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIAModelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiroinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis-1139962560771343510500500600-1917891883403718704-2504903392600098822info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UCBinstname:Universidade Católica de Brasíliainstacron:UCBTHUMBNAILLilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf.jpgLilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf.jpgimage/jpeg5556https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2148/3/LilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdf.jpg3f26e4c8ba80ae4b24cd93555ff53e80MD53ORIGINALLilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdfLilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdfapplication/pdf852227https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2148/2/LilianSantosMarquesSeverinoDissertacao2016.pdfa6811612b93a51167387d223e191b16cMD52LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82048https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2148/1/license.txt76cd1e6bdecb11e4b12c81d5fe0f87b3MD51tede/2148oai:bdtd.ucb.br:tede/21482017-06-13 01:03:10.619Biblioteca Digital de Disserta????es da Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia - UCBsdi@ucb.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 |
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv |
Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro |
title |
Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro |
spellingShingle |
Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro Severino, L??lian Santos Marques Finan??as Mercado imobili??rio Capital Asset Pricing Model Consumption Based Capital Asset Pricing Model CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA |
title_short |
Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro |
title_full |
Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro |
title_fullStr |
Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro |
title_full_unstemmed |
Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro |
title_sort |
Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro |
author |
Severino, L??lian Santos Marques |
author_facet |
Severino, L??lian Santos Marques |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Maldonado, Wilfredo Fernando Leiva |
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/2898705867805713 |
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/1147563699948673 |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Severino, L??lian Santos Marques |
contributor_str_mv |
Maldonado, Wilfredo Fernando Leiva |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Finan??as Mercado imobili??rio Capital Asset Pricing Model Consumption Based Capital Asset Pricing Model |
topic |
Finan??as Mercado imobili??rio Capital Asset Pricing Model Consumption Based Capital Asset Pricing Model CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA |
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA |
dc.description.abstract.eng.fl_txt_mv |
This study aims to analyze the behavior of the real estate market in the Brazilian cities of S??o Paulo and Rio de Janeiro from 2008 to 2016 as seen through the analysis of monthly pricing data for both sales and rental markets, apparent consumption, stock of properties, and market return (IBOVESPA). Two models were estimated, the first, the CAPM, aimed at analyzing how return from investment in housing in both cities compared to the market return (IBOVESPA). The second model, the CCAPM was modified to suit the presence of preference for ownership of property. This study concludes that regarding the change-over of the return rates in Rio de Janeiro and S??o Paulo, investment in the housing market in both cities is negatively affected by the change-over of the return in investments on the whole stock market. Moreover, when we include the consumption in the pricing model, there is an intertemporal discount factor for consumption of roughly 0,98 per month for both cities, which confirms that Brazilian real estate buyers are more impatient than their American counterparts, and that the percentage of their income spent on consumption and investment in housing varies from one city to another. |
dc.description.abstract.por.fl_txt_mv |
O presente trabalho trata do comportamento do mercado imobili??rio nas cidades de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro no per??odo de 2008 a 2016, analisando dados mensais de pre??os de venda e de aluguel de im??veis, consumo aparente, estoque de im??veis e taxa de retorno de mercado (IBOVESPA). Foram estimados dois modelos, o primeiro, o CAPM, visou analisar o comportamento do retorno do investimento imobili??rio das duas localidades em rela????o ao retorno de mercado e o segundo modelo, o CCAPM modificado para exist??ncia de prefer??ncias pela propriedade de im??veis. O estudo conclui, em rela????o ??s taxas de retorno, que a varia????o do investimento no mercado imobili??rio, tanto no Rio de Janeiro quanto em S??o Paulo, ?? afetada de forma negativa pela varia????o do retorno de mercado. Al??m disso, quando inclui o consumo no modelo de precifica????o, observa-se um fator de desconto intertemporal do consumo em torno de 0,98 ao m??s para as duas cidades, confirmando que o consumidor brasileiro ?? mais impaciente que o americano, e que os percentuais da sua renda destinada ao consumo e ao investimento imobili??rio diferem de uma cidade para a outra. |
description |
This study aims to analyze the behavior of the real estate market in the Brazilian cities of S??o Paulo and Rio de Janeiro from 2008 to 2016 as seen through the analysis of monthly pricing data for both sales and rental markets, apparent consumption, stock of properties, and market return (IBOVESPA). Two models were estimated, the first, the CAPM, aimed at analyzing how return from investment in housing in both cities compared to the market return (IBOVESPA). The second model, the CCAPM was modified to suit the presence of preference for ownership of property. This study concludes that regarding the change-over of the return rates in Rio de Janeiro and S??o Paulo, investment in the housing market in both cities is negatively affected by the change-over of the return in investments on the whole stock market. Moreover, when we include the consumption in the pricing model, there is an intertemporal discount factor for consumption of roughly 0,98 per month for both cities, which confirms that Brazilian real estate buyers are more impatient than their American counterparts, and that the percentage of their income spent on consumption and investment in housing varies from one city to another. |
publishDate |
2016 |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2016-12-16 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2017-06-12T14:43:48Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
format |
masterThesis |
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
SEVERINO, L??lian Santos Marques. Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro. 2016. 47 f. Disserta????o (Programa Stricto Sensu em Economia de Empresas) - Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia, Bras??lia, 2016. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2148 |
identifier_str_mv |
SEVERINO, L??lian Santos Marques. Modelos CAPM e CCAPM aplicados ao mercado imobili??rio de S??o Paulo e Rio de Janeiro. 2016. 47 f. Disserta????o (Programa Stricto Sensu em Economia de Empresas) - Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia, Bras??lia, 2016. |
url |
https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2148 |
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por |
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por |
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500 500 600 |
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openAccess |
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Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia |
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UCB |
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Brasil |
dc.publisher.department.fl_str_mv |
Escola de Gest??o e Neg??cios |
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Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia |
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