Segurança hídrica no Ceará: análise de cenários e de alternativas de intervenção

Detalhes bibliográficos
Ano de defesa: 2017
Autor(a) principal: Rabelo, Udinart Prata
Orientador(a): Lima Neto, Iran Eduardo
Banca de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
Idioma: por
Instituição de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Programa de Pós-Graduação: Não Informado pela instituição
Departamento: Não Informado pela instituição
País: Não Informado pela instituição
Palavras-chave em Português:
Link de acesso: http://www.repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/25080
Resumo: Drought is a problem that has caused damage to the population of Ceará since its Settlement. Historically the state has suffered from the interannual rainfall variability, Going through several periods of scarcity, which causes lack of water for population consumption, Loss of crops and consequently intense migration. Between the years of 2012 and 2016, the Drought, with precipitation below the historical average during The rainy season, the period of greatest rainfall in the state, with the aggravation of three Of these five were among the ten years with the lowest rainfall observed in Ceará. THE Consequence of this prolonged shortage period was the Reservoirs of the state, main responsible for water maintenance. This fact ignited the The search for new alternatives for the state in drought mitigation that historically On the basis of solutions already used in other countries and those who have been successful Lack of water, including in poor availability and infrastructure The one from Ceará. In this sense, a methodology was adopted to analyze the supply scenarios x Demand, with a study horizon between the years 2020 and 2050, considering the forecasts Of growth of the main demands and the alternatives of offers already used in other Countries that have achieved results. The demands and offers, calculated in billions of meters Were projected and compared year by year between 2020 and 2050, from the Of mitigation alternatives, both for standardized scenarios and for drought scenarios Severe and prolonged dry periods. Complementary to the technical analysis was a Comparison of the implementation costs of each of the alternatives. The combination of these two Generated a ranking of the mitigation alternatives, in order to select the most effective ones And which should focus the state's efforts on investment. The Transposition of São Francisco River and improving the efficiency of irrigation systems presented themselves as The best solutions for water security in the state during the study horizon. O Investment in groundwater, water reuse and demand reduction Populations are of greater importance for future scenarios and for drought situations. Prolonged periods. The desalination of sea water was the alternative with less effect, Mainly because it is still complex and expensive, but also important in Future scenarios. The largest water deficits were found in the final years of each decade.
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spelling Rabelo, Udinart PrataLima Neto, Iran Eduardo2017-08-25T13:01:09Z2017-08-25T13:01:09Z2017RABELO, U. P. Segurança hídrica no Ceará: análise de cenários e de alternativas de intervenção. 2017. 208 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Engenharia Civil: Recursos Hídricos)–Centro de Tecnologia, Universidade Federal do Ceará, Fortaleza, 2017.http://www.repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/25080Drought is a problem that has caused damage to the population of Ceará since its Settlement. Historically the state has suffered from the interannual rainfall variability, Going through several periods of scarcity, which causes lack of water for population consumption, Loss of crops and consequently intense migration. Between the years of 2012 and 2016, the Drought, with precipitation below the historical average during The rainy season, the period of greatest rainfall in the state, with the aggravation of three Of these five were among the ten years with the lowest rainfall observed in Ceará. THE Consequence of this prolonged shortage period was the Reservoirs of the state, main responsible for water maintenance. This fact ignited the The search for new alternatives for the state in drought mitigation that historically On the basis of solutions already used in other countries and those who have been successful Lack of water, including in poor availability and infrastructure The one from Ceará. In this sense, a methodology was adopted to analyze the supply scenarios x Demand, with a study horizon between the years 2020 and 2050, considering the forecasts Of growth of the main demands and the alternatives of offers already used in other Countries that have achieved results. The demands and offers, calculated in billions of meters Were projected and compared year by year between 2020 and 2050, from the Of mitigation alternatives, both for standardized scenarios and for drought scenarios Severe and prolonged dry periods. Complementary to the technical analysis was a Comparison of the implementation costs of each of the alternatives. The combination of these two Generated a ranking of the mitigation alternatives, in order to select the most effective ones And which should focus the state's efforts on investment. The Transposition of São Francisco River and improving the efficiency of irrigation systems presented themselves as The best solutions for water security in the state during the study horizon. O Investment in groundwater, water reuse and demand reduction Populations are of greater importance for future scenarios and for drought situations. Prolonged periods. The desalination of sea water was the alternative with less effect, Mainly because it is still complex and expensive, but also important in Future scenarios. The largest water deficits were found in the final years of each decade.A seca é um problema que tem causado prejuízos à população do Ceará desde o seu povoamento. Historicamente o estado tem sofrido com a variabilidade interanual de chuvas, passando por vários períodos de escassez, o que causa falta de água para consumo populacional, perda de lavouras e consequentemente intensa migração. Entre os anos de 2012 e 2016, o estado passou por um período de seca prolongada, com precipitações abaixo da média histórica durante a quadra chuvosa, período de maior ocorrência de chuvas no estado, com o agravante de três desses cinco estarem entre os dez anos com menores precipitações observadas no Ceará. A consequência direta desse período de escassez prolongada foi o quase esvaziamento dos reservatórios do estado, principais responsáveis pela manutenção hídrica. Tal fato acendeu o alerta para a busca de novas alternativas para o estado na mitigação das secas que historicamente ocorrem, tendo como base soluções já utilizadas em outros países e quem têm obtido sucesso com relação à falta de água, inclusive em cenários de disponibilidade e infraestrutura piores que o do Ceará. Nesse sentido foi adotada uma metodologia para análise dos cenários de oferta x demanda, com um horizonte de estudo entre os anos de 2020 e 2050, considerando as previsões de crescimento das principais demandas e as alternativas de ofertas já utilizadas em outros países e que têm obtido resultado. As demandas e ofertas, calculadas em bilhões de metros cúbicos, foram projetadas e comparadas ano a ano entre 2020 e 2050, a partir da combinação das alternativas de mitigação, tanto para cenários normatizados, quanto para cenários de secas severas pontuais e secas prolongadas. Complementar às análises técnicas foi feito um comparativo de custos de implantação de cada uma das alternativas. A combinação dessas duas análises gerou um ranking das alternativas de mitigação, de modo a selecionar as mais efetivas e que deverão concentrar os esforços do estado em termos de investimento. A Transposição do Rio São Francisco e a melhoria da eficiência dos sistemas de irrigação se apresentaram como as melhores soluções para segurança hídrica do estado durante o horizonte de estudo. O investimento nas águas subterrâneas, no reuso de água e na diminuição da demanda populacional possuem uma importância maior para os cenários futuros e para situações de secas prolongadas. A dessalinização da água do mar foi a alternativa com menor efeito, principalmente por ainda ser complexa e de elevado custo, mas também possui importância em cenários futuros. Os maiores déficits hídricos foram encontrados nos anos finais de cada década.Recursos hídricosSegurança hídricaDemandas hídricasOfertas hídricasGestão de recursos hídricosWater SecurityWater demandSemiaridManagement of water resourcesSegurança hídrica no Ceará: análise de cenários e de alternativas de intervençãoWater security in Ceará: analysis of scenarios and Intervention alternativesinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisporreponame:Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)instname:Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)instacron:UFCinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81748http://repositorio.ufc.br/bitstream/riufc/25080/4/license.txt8a4605be74aa9ea9d79846c1fba20a33MD54ORIGINAL2017_dis_uprabelo.pdf2017_dis_uprabelo.pdf2017_dis_uprabeloapplication/pdf3753031http://repositorio.ufc.br/bitstream/riufc/25080/3/2017_dis_uprabelo.pdf7f7df03f32c4240be6bbc3aaac513544MD53riufc/250802020-10-09 14:11:20.961oai:repositorio.ufc.br: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Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://www.repositorio.ufc.br/ri-oai/requestbu@ufc.br || repositorio@ufc.bropendoar:2020-10-09T17:11:20Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC) - Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)false
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Segurança hídrica no Ceará: análise de cenários e de alternativas de intervenção
dc.title.en.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Water security in Ceará: analysis of scenarios and Intervention alternatives
title Segurança hídrica no Ceará: análise de cenários e de alternativas de intervenção
spellingShingle Segurança hídrica no Ceará: análise de cenários e de alternativas de intervenção
Rabelo, Udinart Prata
Recursos hídricos
Segurança hídrica
Demandas hídricas
Ofertas hídricas
Gestão de recursos hídricos
Water Security
Water demand
Semiarid
Management of water resources
title_short Segurança hídrica no Ceará: análise de cenários e de alternativas de intervenção
title_full Segurança hídrica no Ceará: análise de cenários e de alternativas de intervenção
title_fullStr Segurança hídrica no Ceará: análise de cenários e de alternativas de intervenção
title_full_unstemmed Segurança hídrica no Ceará: análise de cenários e de alternativas de intervenção
title_sort Segurança hídrica no Ceará: análise de cenários e de alternativas de intervenção
author Rabelo, Udinart Prata
author_facet Rabelo, Udinart Prata
author_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Rabelo, Udinart Prata
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Lima Neto, Iran Eduardo
contributor_str_mv Lima Neto, Iran Eduardo
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Recursos hídricos
Segurança hídrica
Demandas hídricas
Ofertas hídricas
Gestão de recursos hídricos
Water Security
Water demand
Semiarid
Management of water resources
topic Recursos hídricos
Segurança hídrica
Demandas hídricas
Ofertas hídricas
Gestão de recursos hídricos
Water Security
Water demand
Semiarid
Management of water resources
description Drought is a problem that has caused damage to the population of Ceará since its Settlement. Historically the state has suffered from the interannual rainfall variability, Going through several periods of scarcity, which causes lack of water for population consumption, Loss of crops and consequently intense migration. Between the years of 2012 and 2016, the Drought, with precipitation below the historical average during The rainy season, the period of greatest rainfall in the state, with the aggravation of three Of these five were among the ten years with the lowest rainfall observed in Ceará. THE Consequence of this prolonged shortage period was the Reservoirs of the state, main responsible for water maintenance. This fact ignited the The search for new alternatives for the state in drought mitigation that historically On the basis of solutions already used in other countries and those who have been successful Lack of water, including in poor availability and infrastructure The one from Ceará. In this sense, a methodology was adopted to analyze the supply scenarios x Demand, with a study horizon between the years 2020 and 2050, considering the forecasts Of growth of the main demands and the alternatives of offers already used in other Countries that have achieved results. The demands and offers, calculated in billions of meters Were projected and compared year by year between 2020 and 2050, from the Of mitigation alternatives, both for standardized scenarios and for drought scenarios Severe and prolonged dry periods. Complementary to the technical analysis was a Comparison of the implementation costs of each of the alternatives. The combination of these two Generated a ranking of the mitigation alternatives, in order to select the most effective ones And which should focus the state's efforts on investment. The Transposition of São Francisco River and improving the efficiency of irrigation systems presented themselves as The best solutions for water security in the state during the study horizon. O Investment in groundwater, water reuse and demand reduction Populations are of greater importance for future scenarios and for drought situations. Prolonged periods. The desalination of sea water was the alternative with less effect, Mainly because it is still complex and expensive, but also important in Future scenarios. The largest water deficits were found in the final years of each decade.
publishDate 2017
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2017-08-25T13:01:09Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2017-08-25T13:01:09Z
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2017
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
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dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv RABELO, U. P. Segurança hídrica no Ceará: análise de cenários e de alternativas de intervenção. 2017. 208 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Engenharia Civil: Recursos Hídricos)–Centro de Tecnologia, Universidade Federal do Ceará, Fortaleza, 2017.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://www.repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/25080
identifier_str_mv RABELO, U. P. Segurança hídrica no Ceará: análise de cenários e de alternativas de intervenção. 2017. 208 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Engenharia Civil: Recursos Hídricos)–Centro de Tecnologia, Universidade Federal do Ceará, Fortaleza, 2017.
url http://www.repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/25080
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