A crítica keynesiana ao programa de pesquisa científico neoclássico
| Ano de defesa: | 2025 |
|---|---|
| Autor(a) principal: | |
| Orientador(a): | |
| Banca de defesa: | , , , |
| Tipo de documento: | Tese |
| Tipo de acesso: | Acesso aberto |
| Idioma: | por |
| Instituição de defesa: |
Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo
Doutorado em Economia |
| Programa de Pós-Graduação: |
Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia
|
| Departamento: |
Centro de Ciências Jurídicas e Econômicas
|
| País: |
BR
|
| Palavras-chave em Português: | |
| Link de acesso: | http://repositorio.ufes.br/handle/10/20810 |
Resumo: | This thesis develops an epistemological analysis of mainstream economic theory, represented by the Neoclassical Scientific Research Program (SRP), through the lens of Imre Lakatos’s methodology. Its central objective is to assess whether the Keynesian critique constitutes an incremental or a fundamental rupture in relation to this program. The study first examines different approaches within the philosophy of science — from Popperian falsificationism to Kuhn’s contributions — to justify the use of Lakatos’s framework. It then characterizes the neoclassical SRP, identifying its hard core, its auxiliary hypotheses, and the flexibilization mechanisms employed to preserve its theoretical coherence. Finally, it analyzes key contributions from the Keynesian and post-Keynesian traditions, with particular emphasis on ontological uncertainty, the historicity of expectations, and the incompatibility of the ergodicity assumption with real-world economies. The investigation concludes that the (post-)Keynesian approach constitutes a fundamental epistemological rupture: it rejects the core assumptions of the neoclassical hard core, exposes the degenerative character of the SRP, and advances an alternative paradigm grounded in radical uncertainty, historical causality, institutions, and the interdependence of economic agents. |
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Herscovici, Alain Pierre Claude Henrihttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0378-7561http://lattes.cnpq.br/5617392054329732 Stege, Dreyfuss Raphaelhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4154-144Xhttp://lattes.cnpq.br/1235933414402799 Grassi, Robson Antonio https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3735-3427http://lattes.cnpq.br/1705867851062589 Cerqueira, Hugo Eduardo Araújo da Gama https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1036-0547http://lattes.cnpq.br/8420092514309553 Fucidji, José Ricardohttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8262-7899http://lattes.cnpq.br/8639709435538882 Simiqueli, Roberto Resendehttps://orcid.org/0009-0003-1230-6285http://lattes.cnpq.br/2121714438413405 2026-01-20T14:52:18Z2026-01-20T14:52:18Z2025-11-18This thesis develops an epistemological analysis of mainstream economic theory, represented by the Neoclassical Scientific Research Program (SRP), through the lens of Imre Lakatos’s methodology. Its central objective is to assess whether the Keynesian critique constitutes an incremental or a fundamental rupture in relation to this program. The study first examines different approaches within the philosophy of science — from Popperian falsificationism to Kuhn’s contributions — to justify the use of Lakatos’s framework. It then characterizes the neoclassical SRP, identifying its hard core, its auxiliary hypotheses, and the flexibilization mechanisms employed to preserve its theoretical coherence. Finally, it analyzes key contributions from the Keynesian and post-Keynesian traditions, with particular emphasis on ontological uncertainty, the historicity of expectations, and the incompatibility of the ergodicity assumption with real-world economies. The investigation concludes that the (post-)Keynesian approach constitutes a fundamental epistemological rupture: it rejects the core assumptions of the neoclassical hard core, exposes the degenerative character of the SRP, and advances an alternative paradigm grounded in radical uncertainty, historical causality, institutions, and the interdependence of economic agents.Esta tese desenvolve uma análise epistemológica da teoria econômica dominante, representada pelo Programa de Pesquisa Científico (PPC) neoclássico, à luz da metodologia de Imre Lakatos. O objetivo central é avaliar se a crítica keynesiana constitui uma ruptura incremental ou fundamental em relação a esse programa. Inicialmente, examinam-se distintas abordagens da filosofia da ciência — do falseacionismo popperiano às contribuições de Kuhn — para justificar a utilização da metodologia lakatosiana. Em seguida, caracteriza-se o PPC neoclássico, identificando seu núcleo duro, suas hipóteses auxiliares e os mecanismos de flexibilização empregados para manter sua coerência teórica. Por fim, analisam-se contribuições centrais da tradição keynesiana e pós-keynesiana, com ênfase na incerteza ontológica, na historicidade das expectativas e na incompatibilidade da hipótese de ergodicidade com economias reais. A investigação conclui que a abordagem (pós)-keynesiana configura uma ruptura epistemológica fundamental: rejeita os pressupostos centrais do núcleo duro, evidencia o caráter degenerativo do PPC neoclássico e propõe um paradigma alternativo ancorado na incerteza radical, na causalidade histórica, nas instituições e na interdependência dos agentes econômicos. Texthttp://repositorio.ufes.br/handle/10/20810porptUniversidade Federal do Espírito SantoDoutorado em EconomiaPrograma de Pós-Graduação em EconomiaUFESBRCentro de Ciências Jurídicas e Econômicashttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessEconomia - MetodologiaHistória econômicaTeoria do conhecimentoEscola neoclássica de economiaEconomia keynesianaA crítica keynesiana ao programa de pesquisa científico neoclássicoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesisreponame:Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo (riUfes)instname:Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo (UFES)instacron:UFESORIGINALDreyfussRafaelStege-2025-Tese.pdfapplication/pdf1468440http://repositorio.ufes.br/bitstreams/9801745e-41ec-45df-8e4f-be73d2234fbc/download3c9a64a6159c19620bcac9702a5f1cf5MD53LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81748http://repositorio.ufes.br/bitstreams/888b2efa-f909-4dd0-9d69-45f672ced77a/download8a4605be74aa9ea9d79846c1fba20a33MD5210/208102026-01-23 10:34:08.834https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/open accessoai:repositorio.ufes.br:10/20810http://repositorio.ufes.brRepositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.ufes.br/oai/requestriufes@ufes.bropendoar:21082026-01-23T10:34:08Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo (riUfes) - Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo (UFES)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 |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
A crítica keynesiana ao programa de pesquisa científico neoclássico |
| title |
A crítica keynesiana ao programa de pesquisa científico neoclássico |
| spellingShingle |
A crítica keynesiana ao programa de pesquisa científico neoclássico Stege, Dreyfuss Raphael Economia - Metodologia História econômica Teoria do conhecimento Escola neoclássica de economia Economia keynesiana |
| title_short |
A crítica keynesiana ao programa de pesquisa científico neoclássico |
| title_full |
A crítica keynesiana ao programa de pesquisa científico neoclássico |
| title_fullStr |
A crítica keynesiana ao programa de pesquisa científico neoclássico |
| title_full_unstemmed |
A crítica keynesiana ao programa de pesquisa científico neoclássico |
| title_sort |
A crítica keynesiana ao programa de pesquisa científico neoclássico |
| author |
Stege, Dreyfuss Raphael |
| author_facet |
Stege, Dreyfuss Raphael |
| author_role |
author |
| dc.contributor.authorID.none.fl_str_mv |
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4154-144X |
| dc.contributor.authorLattes.none.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/1235933414402799 |
| dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Herscovici, Alain Pierre Claude Henri |
| dc.contributor.advisor1ID.fl_str_mv |
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0378-7561 |
| dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/5617392054329732 |
| dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Stege, Dreyfuss Raphael |
| dc.contributor.referee1.fl_str_mv |
Grassi, Robson Antonio |
| dc.contributor.referee1ID.fl_str_mv |
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3735-3427 |
| dc.contributor.referee1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/1705867851062589 |
| dc.contributor.referee2.fl_str_mv |
Cerqueira, Hugo Eduardo Araújo da Gama |
| dc.contributor.referee2ID.fl_str_mv |
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1036-0547 |
| dc.contributor.referee2Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/8420092514309553 |
| dc.contributor.referee3.fl_str_mv |
Fucidji, José Ricardo |
| dc.contributor.referee3ID.fl_str_mv |
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8262-7899 |
| dc.contributor.referee3Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/8639709435538882 |
| dc.contributor.referee4.fl_str_mv |
Simiqueli, Roberto Resende |
| dc.contributor.referee4ID.fl_str_mv |
https://orcid.org/0009-0003-1230-6285 |
| dc.contributor.referee4Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/2121714438413405 |
| contributor_str_mv |
Herscovici, Alain Pierre Claude Henri Grassi, Robson Antonio Cerqueira, Hugo Eduardo Araújo da Gama Fucidji, José Ricardo Simiqueli, Roberto Resende |
| dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Economia - Metodologia História econômica Teoria do conhecimento Escola neoclássica de economia Economia keynesiana |
| topic |
Economia - Metodologia História econômica Teoria do conhecimento Escola neoclássica de economia Economia keynesiana |
| description |
This thesis develops an epistemological analysis of mainstream economic theory, represented by the Neoclassical Scientific Research Program (SRP), through the lens of Imre Lakatos’s methodology. Its central objective is to assess whether the Keynesian critique constitutes an incremental or a fundamental rupture in relation to this program. The study first examines different approaches within the philosophy of science — from Popperian falsificationism to Kuhn’s contributions — to justify the use of Lakatos’s framework. It then characterizes the neoclassical SRP, identifying its hard core, its auxiliary hypotheses, and the flexibilization mechanisms employed to preserve its theoretical coherence. Finally, it analyzes key contributions from the Keynesian and post-Keynesian traditions, with particular emphasis on ontological uncertainty, the historicity of expectations, and the incompatibility of the ergodicity assumption with real-world economies. The investigation concludes that the (post-)Keynesian approach constitutes a fundamental epistemological rupture: it rejects the core assumptions of the neoclassical hard core, exposes the degenerative character of the SRP, and advances an alternative paradigm grounded in radical uncertainty, historical causality, institutions, and the interdependence of economic agents. |
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2025 |
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2025-11-18 |
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2026-01-20T14:52:18Z |
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2026-01-20T14:52:18Z |
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Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo Doutorado em Economia |
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Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia |
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UFES |
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Centro de Ciências Jurídicas e Econômicas |
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Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo Doutorado em Economia |
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