Evolução epidemiológica em três anos de pandemia Covid-19 entre o Estado do Espírito Santo e o Distrito Federal, Brasil: análise das taxas de incidência, mortalidade e a letalidade

• Ano de defesa: 2023
• Autor(a) principal: Moratti, Edna do Nascimento
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: por
• Instituição de defesa: Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo; BR; Mestrado em Saúde Coletiva; Centro de Ciências da Saúde; UFES; Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva
• Palavras-chave em Português: Covid-19; Sars CovV2; Vacinas; Mortalidade; Pandemia; Saúde Coletiva
• Link de acesso: http://repositorio.ufes.br/handle/10/12591

Covid-19 is a disease with high transmissibility and global distribution. In Brazil, the initial phase was marked by imported cases of the disease, followed by local transmission. The Federal District (DF) was the first federative unit (UF) to adhere to social distancing measures, on March 11, 2020. The other UFs carried out these actions later, but still in March, as is the case of Espírito Santo (ES). Both ES and DF have in common, for example, the dynamics of commuting by workers in their capitals. Objective: To evaluate the epidemiological evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic between the state of Espírito Santo and the Federal District, according to the analysis of incidence, mortality and lethality rates. Method: ecological study of time series, with a database extracted from the Coronavirus Panel made available by the Ministry of Health of Brazil between the years 2020 to 2022. For trend analyses, time series were calculated using the Prais-Winsten regression model, estimating the angular coefficient (β) with its respective probability (p) and the daily percentage change (DPC). Results: The incidence behavior was the same for both regions, ES and DF, with these increasing in the year 2020, decreasing in 2021 and stationary for the year 2022. Lethality remained stationary during the 3 years of the pandemic period of this study in the DF. This same region showed increasing mortality in 2020 (1.12%) and decreasing in 2021 (-0.70%) and 2022 (-0.31%). In ES, lethality remained decreasing in 2020 (-0.44%) and 2021 (-0.20%), with a 95% CI, becoming stationary in 2022. The behavior of mortality in this state was identical to the incidence, or that is, increasing for 2020, decreasing for 2021 and stationary for 2022. Conclusion: The trends for ES and DF were similar in the period from 2020 to 2022. Lethality remained stable over the three Years in DF while in ES it was drecreasing in the first two Years and stationary in the last year analyzed.