Um modelo de intenção de voto baseado em sistema multiagente

Detalhes bibliográficos
Ano de defesa: 2020
Autor(a) principal: Charcon, Douglas Yamamoto lattes
Orientador(a): Monteiro, Luiz Henrique Alves lattes
Banca de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
Idioma: por
Instituição de defesa: Universidade Presbiteriana Mackenzie
Programa de Pós-Graduação: Não Informado pela instituição
Departamento: Não Informado pela instituição
País: Não Informado pela instituição
Palavras-chave em Português:
dinâmica de opinião
intenção de voto
rede social
sistema multiagente
sociofísica
Área do conhecimento CNPq:
CNPQ::ENGENHARIAS
Link de acesso: https://dspace.mackenzie.br/handle/10899/28611
Resumo: Personal knowledge and social relationships affect the formation and spread of different kinds of opinion in a society. In fact, the opinions of individuals are a consequence of their own convictions and of the influence exerted by their networks of real and virtual contacts. These opinions are reflected in the decision making that occurs, for example, in an election. In this work, a model of voting intention based on a multi-agent system is proposed, with the aim of predicting the result of a two-round election with three candidates running for a position in the Executive Branch. Each voter is represented by an agent, whose vote is influenced by economic, political, and social factors and the voting intention of their neighbors. Here, computer simulations are carried out in order to understand how the mentioned factors and the influence of the neighborhood determine the elected candidate. Also, the model is used to reproduce the presidential elections held in Uruguay in 2019 and in Brazil in 2010. There is a good agreement between the official results of these elections and the model results.
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spelling Charcon, Douglas Yamamotohttp://lattes.cnpq.br/1820487447148268 / https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2309-1254Monteiro, Luiz Henrique Alveshttp://lattes.cnpq.br/07164734024356802021-12-18T21:44:25Z2021-12-18T21:44:25Z2020-08-10CHARCON, Douglas Yamamoto. Um modelo de intenção de voto baseado em sistema multiagente. 2020. 43 f. Dissertação (Engenharia Elétrica) - Universidade Presbiteriana Mackenzie, São Paulo, 2020https://dspace.mackenzie.br/handle/10899/28611Personal knowledge and social relationships affect the formation and spread of different kinds of opinion in a society. In fact, the opinions of individuals are a consequence of their own convictions and of the influence exerted by their networks of real and virtual contacts. These opinions are reflected in the decision making that occurs, for example, in an election. In this work, a model of voting intention based on a multi-agent system is proposed, with the aim of predicting the result of a two-round election with three candidates running for a position in the Executive Branch. Each voter is represented by an agent, whose vote is influenced by economic, political, and social factors and the voting intention of their neighbors. Here, computer simulations are carried out in order to understand how the mentioned factors and the influence of the neighborhood determine the elected candidate. Also, the model is used to reproduce the presidential elections held in Uruguay in 2019 and in Brazil in 2010. There is a good agreement between the official results of these elections and the model results.Os conhecimentos pessoais e as relações sociais afetam a formação e a propagação de diferentes tipos de opinião numa sociedade. De fato, as opiniões dos indivíduos são consequência de suas próprias convicções e da influência exercida por suas redes de contatos reais e virtuais. Essas opiniões se refletem na tomada de decisão que ocorre, por exemplo, numa eleição. Neste trabalho, propõe-se um modelo de intenção de voto baseado em um sistema multiagente, com o objetivo de prever o resultado de uma eleição em dois turnos com três candidatos concorrendo a um cargo no Poder Executivo. Cada eleitor é representado por um agente, cujo voto é influenciado por fatores econômicos, políticos e sociais e pela intenção de voto de seus vizinhos. Aqui, realizam-se simulações computacionais com o propósito de compreender como os fatores mencionados e a influência da vizinhança determinam o candidato eleito. Ainda, o modelo é usado para reproduzir as eleições presidenciais ocorridas no Uruguai em 2019 e no Brasil em 2010. Há uma boa concordância entre os resultados oficiais dessas eleições e os resultados do modelo.Fundo Mackenzie de Pesquisaapplication/pdfporUniversidade Presbiteriana Mackenziehttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessdinâmica de opiniãointenção de votorede socialsistema multiagentesociofísicaCNPQ::ENGENHARIASUm modelo de intenção de voto baseado em sistema multiagenteinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesismultiagent systemopinion dynamicssocial networksociophysicsvoting intentionreponame:Repositório Digital do Mackenzieinstname:Universidade Presbiteriana Mackenzie (MACKENZIE)instacron:MACKENZIESilva, Leandro Augusto dahttp://lattes.cnpq.br/1396385111251741 / https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8671-3102Schimit, Pedro Henrique Triguishttp://lattes.cnpq.br/9938713955885093 / https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5474-6145BrasilEscola de Engenharia Mackenzie (EE)UPMEngenharia ElétricaCC-LICENSElicense_urlapplication/octet-stream49https://dspace.mackenzie.br/bitstreams/1548aac7-d6bf-47de-848d-c820d9c0fced/download4afdbb8c545fd630ea7db775da747b2fMD51falseAnonymousREADlicense_textapplication/octet-stream0https://dspace.mackenzie.br/bitstreams/f64c6036-6370-40dc-9528-ef21c6ae9674/downloadd41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427eMD52falseAnonymousREADlicense_rdfapplication/octet-stream0https://dspace.mackenzie.br/bitstreams/7b13163c-6b3b-4b48-8a3b-7aed4c91b63d/downloadd41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427eMD53falseAnonymousREADLICENSElicense.txttext/plain2108https://dspace.mackenzie.br/bitstreams/ff3f62dd-f075-47a9-8bc8-7b6dc4a469a8/download1ca4f25d161e955cf4b7a4aa65b8e96eMD54falseAnonymousREADORIGINALDOUGLAS YAMAMOTO CHARCON - 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dc.title.por.fl_str_mv Um modelo de intenção de voto baseado em sistema multiagente
title Um modelo de intenção de voto baseado em sistema multiagente
spellingShingle Um modelo de intenção de voto baseado em sistema multiagente
Charcon, Douglas Yamamoto
dinâmica de opinião
intenção de voto
rede social
sistema multiagente
sociofísica
CNPQ::ENGENHARIAS
title_short Um modelo de intenção de voto baseado em sistema multiagente
title_full Um modelo de intenção de voto baseado em sistema multiagente
title_fullStr Um modelo de intenção de voto baseado em sistema multiagente
title_full_unstemmed Um modelo de intenção de voto baseado em sistema multiagente
title_sort Um modelo de intenção de voto baseado em sistema multiagente
author Charcon, Douglas Yamamoto
author_facet Charcon, Douglas Yamamoto
author_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Charcon, Douglas Yamamoto
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/1820487447148268 / https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2309-1254
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Monteiro, Luiz Henrique Alves
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/0716473402435680
contributor_str_mv Monteiro, Luiz Henrique Alves
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv dinâmica de opinião
intenção de voto
rede social
sistema multiagente
sociofísica
topic dinâmica de opinião
intenção de voto
rede social
sistema multiagente
sociofísica
CNPQ::ENGENHARIAS
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv CNPQ::ENGENHARIAS
description Personal knowledge and social relationships affect the formation and spread of different kinds of opinion in a society. In fact, the opinions of individuals are a consequence of their own convictions and of the influence exerted by their networks of real and virtual contacts. These opinions are reflected in the decision making that occurs, for example, in an election. In this work, a model of voting intention based on a multi-agent system is proposed, with the aim of predicting the result of a two-round election with three candidates running for a position in the Executive Branch. Each voter is represented by an agent, whose vote is influenced by economic, political, and social factors and the voting intention of their neighbors. Here, computer simulations are carried out in order to understand how the mentioned factors and the influence of the neighborhood determine the elected candidate. Also, the model is used to reproduce the presidential elections held in Uruguay in 2019 and in Brazil in 2010. There is a good agreement between the official results of these elections and the model results.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2020-08-10
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2021-12-18T21:44:25Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2021-12-18T21:44:25Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
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status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv CHARCON, Douglas Yamamoto. Um modelo de intenção de voto baseado em sistema multiagente. 2020. 43 f. Dissertação (Engenharia Elétrica) - Universidade Presbiteriana Mackenzie, São Paulo, 2020
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://dspace.mackenzie.br/handle/10899/28611
identifier_str_mv CHARCON, Douglas Yamamoto. Um modelo de intenção de voto baseado em sistema multiagente. 2020. 43 f. Dissertação (Engenharia Elétrica) - Universidade Presbiteriana Mackenzie, São Paulo, 2020
url https://dspace.mackenzie.br/handle/10899/28611
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Presbiteriana Mackenzie
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Presbiteriana Mackenzie
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instname:Universidade Presbiteriana Mackenzie (MACKENZIE)
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