Effects of foot-and-mouth disease on the Brazilian economy: a computable general equilibrium analysis
Ano de defesa: | 2022 |
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Autor(a) principal: | |
Orientador(a): | |
Banca de defesa: | , , |
Tipo de documento: | Tese |
Tipo de acesso: | Acesso aberto |
Idioma: | eng |
Instituição de defesa: |
Universidade de São Paulo
|
Programa de Pós-Graduação: |
Ciências (Economia Aplicada)
|
Departamento: |
Não Informado pela instituição
|
País: |
BR
|
Link de acesso: | https://doi.org/10.11606/T.11.2022.tde-12092022-150240 |
Resumo: | This thesis analyzes the economic impacts of hypothetical foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreaks in Brazil. The first analysis deals with the impact of FMD outbreaks on welfare in Brazil and other countries and on beef and pork bilateral trade between different countries. The second analysis consists of evaluating the impact of FMD outbreaks in different Brazilian regions, including an assessment of changes in macroeconomic variables (such as gross domestic product, investment and exports), wages and employment. Two computable general equilibrium models are applied. In the first analysis, the GTAP model, which includes data for 141 countries and regions, is employed, while the second analysis applies the Brazilian interregional model TERM-BR. The results of both studies provide a basis for estimating the economic and social impacts of FMD outbreaks on the Brazilian economy and on Brazilian meat export markets. These studies show the importance of preventing animal diseases in Brazil for the maintenance of livestock production and exports. The results of this thesis can help the formulation of policies and strategies to minimize the socioeconomic losses from potential outbreaks of FMD in the country. Additionally, the methodology developed in this research can contribute to the formulation of strategies aimed at other animal diseases still present in Brazil. |
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Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis Effects of foot-and-mouth disease on the Brazilian economy: a computable general equilibrium analysis Efeitos da febre aftosa na economia brasileira: uma análise de equilíbrio geral computável 2022-06-30Joaquim Bento de Souza Ferreira FilhoAmanda Marie CountrymanArlei Luiz FachinelloSilvia Helena Galvao de MirandaTaís Cristina de MenezesUniversidade de São PauloCiências (Economia Aplicada)USPBR Brasil Brazil Computable general equilibrium model Economic impacts Febre aftosa Foot-and-mouth disease Impactos econômicos Modelo de equilíbrio geral computável This thesis analyzes the economic impacts of hypothetical foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreaks in Brazil. The first analysis deals with the impact of FMD outbreaks on welfare in Brazil and other countries and on beef and pork bilateral trade between different countries. The second analysis consists of evaluating the impact of FMD outbreaks in different Brazilian regions, including an assessment of changes in macroeconomic variables (such as gross domestic product, investment and exports), wages and employment. Two computable general equilibrium models are applied. In the first analysis, the GTAP model, which includes data for 141 countries and regions, is employed, while the second analysis applies the Brazilian interregional model TERM-BR. The results of both studies provide a basis for estimating the economic and social impacts of FMD outbreaks on the Brazilian economy and on Brazilian meat export markets. These studies show the importance of preventing animal diseases in Brazil for the maintenance of livestock production and exports. The results of this thesis can help the formulation of policies and strategies to minimize the socioeconomic losses from potential outbreaks of FMD in the country. Additionally, the methodology developed in this research can contribute to the formulation of strategies aimed at other animal diseases still present in Brazil. Nesta tese são analisados os impactos econômicos de surtos hipotéticos de febre aftosa no Brasil. A primeira análise trata do impacto de surtos de febre aftosa no bem-estar geral do Brasil e outros países e no comércio bilateral de carne bovina e suína entre diferentes países. A segunda consiste na avaliação do impacto de surtos de febre aftosa nas diferentes regiões brasileiras, incluindo a avaliação de mudanças em variáveis macroeconômicas (como produto interno bruto, investimento e exportações), salários e emprego. São aplicados dois modelos de equilíbrio geral computável. Na primeira análise, o modelo GTAP, que inclui dados para 141 países e regiões, é utilizado, ao passo em que a segunda análise aplica o modelo interregional brasileiro TERM-BR. Os resultados de ambos os estudos constituem embasamento para a estimativa de impactos econômicos e sociais de surtos de febre aftosa sobre a economia brasileira e sobre os mercados de exportação de carnes do Brasil. Estes estudos evidenciam a importância da prevenção de doenças animais do Brasil, para a manutenção da produção e das exportações pecuárias. Os resultados desta tese podem ajudar a formular políticas e estratégias para minimizar as perdas socioeconômicas de potenciais surtos de febre aftosa no país. Adicionalmente, a metodologia desenvolvida nesta pesquisa pode contribuir para a formulação de estratégias voltadas para outras doenças animais ainda presentes no Brasil. https://doi.org/10.11606/T.11.2022.tde-12092022-150240info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessengreponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USPinstname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)instacron:USP2023-12-21T18:48:33Zoai:teses.usp.br:tde-12092022-150240Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertaçõeshttp://www.teses.usp.br/PUBhttp://www.teses.usp.br/cgi-bin/mtd2br.plvirginia@if.usp.br|| atendimento@aguia.usp.br||virginia@if.usp.bropendoar:27212022-09-13T12:11:01Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)false |
dc.title.en.fl_str_mv |
Effects of foot-and-mouth disease on the Brazilian economy: a computable general equilibrium analysis |
dc.title.alternative.pt.fl_str_mv |
Efeitos da febre aftosa na economia brasileira: uma análise de equilíbrio geral computável |
title |
Effects of foot-and-mouth disease on the Brazilian economy: a computable general equilibrium analysis |
spellingShingle |
Effects of foot-and-mouth disease on the Brazilian economy: a computable general equilibrium analysis Taís Cristina de Menezes |
title_short |
Effects of foot-and-mouth disease on the Brazilian economy: a computable general equilibrium analysis |
title_full |
Effects of foot-and-mouth disease on the Brazilian economy: a computable general equilibrium analysis |
title_fullStr |
Effects of foot-and-mouth disease on the Brazilian economy: a computable general equilibrium analysis |
title_full_unstemmed |
Effects of foot-and-mouth disease on the Brazilian economy: a computable general equilibrium analysis |
title_sort |
Effects of foot-and-mouth disease on the Brazilian economy: a computable general equilibrium analysis |
author |
Taís Cristina de Menezes |
author_facet |
Taís Cristina de Menezes |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Joaquim Bento de Souza Ferreira Filho |
dc.contributor.referee1.fl_str_mv |
Amanda Marie Countryman |
dc.contributor.referee2.fl_str_mv |
Arlei Luiz Fachinello |
dc.contributor.referee3.fl_str_mv |
Silvia Helena Galvao de Miranda |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Taís Cristina de Menezes |
contributor_str_mv |
Joaquim Bento de Souza Ferreira Filho Amanda Marie Countryman Arlei Luiz Fachinello Silvia Helena Galvao de Miranda |
description |
This thesis analyzes the economic impacts of hypothetical foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreaks in Brazil. The first analysis deals with the impact of FMD outbreaks on welfare in Brazil and other countries and on beef and pork bilateral trade between different countries. The second analysis consists of evaluating the impact of FMD outbreaks in different Brazilian regions, including an assessment of changes in macroeconomic variables (such as gross domestic product, investment and exports), wages and employment. Two computable general equilibrium models are applied. In the first analysis, the GTAP model, which includes data for 141 countries and regions, is employed, while the second analysis applies the Brazilian interregional model TERM-BR. The results of both studies provide a basis for estimating the economic and social impacts of FMD outbreaks on the Brazilian economy and on Brazilian meat export markets. These studies show the importance of preventing animal diseases in Brazil for the maintenance of livestock production and exports. The results of this thesis can help the formulation of policies and strategies to minimize the socioeconomic losses from potential outbreaks of FMD in the country. Additionally, the methodology developed in this research can contribute to the formulation of strategies aimed at other animal diseases still present in Brazil. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2022-06-30 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis |
format |
doctoralThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://doi.org/10.11606/T.11.2022.tde-12092022-150240 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.11606/T.11.2022.tde-12092022-150240 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade de São Paulo |
dc.publisher.program.fl_str_mv |
Ciências (Economia Aplicada) |
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv |
USP |
dc.publisher.country.fl_str_mv |
BR |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade de São Paulo |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP) instacron:USP |
instname_str |
Universidade de São Paulo (USP) |
instacron_str |
USP |
institution |
USP |
reponame_str |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP |
collection |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP - Universidade de São Paulo (USP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
virginia@if.usp.br|| atendimento@aguia.usp.br||virginia@if.usp.br |
_version_ |
1786376780884475904 |