Does brazilian monetary policy respond to financial stress ?
| Ano de defesa: | 2019 |
|---|---|
| Autor(a) principal: | |
| Orientador(a): | |
| Banca de defesa: | |
| Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
| Tipo de acesso: | Acesso aberto |
| Idioma: | eng |
| Instituição de defesa: |
Biblioteca Digitais de Teses e Dissertações da USP
|
| Programa de Pós-Graduação: |
Não Informado pela instituição
|
| Departamento: |
Não Informado pela instituição
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| País: |
Não Informado pela instituição
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| Palavras-chave em Português: | |
| Link de acesso: | http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/12/12138/tde-28062019-165256/ |
Resumo: | Brazilian Monetary Policy and Financial Stress Taylor Rules are an easy alternative to parametric model the response function of monetary authority to inflation as interest rates are the most common instrument for monetary policy. Nonetheless, a lot of research has been done on the subject: for example, Clarida, Gali and Gertler (2000) have incorporated the role for forward looking behavior through condition expectation operators, and results suggest that it is a useful benchmark in different regions. Although, this parametric relation was primarily suited for maintenance of low volatility and control of inflation, some authors argue that this setup can be extended to accommodate financial stresses. In this sense, we estimate an augmented Taylor Rule for Brazil from 2001 to 2018 by GMM, with moment conditions following closely Castro (2011). Our results suggest that the Brazilian Central Bank did not respond to the FCI proposed in the literature using a vector of house prices, stock market returns and exchange rates. However, our regressions with Taylor Rule model setups augmented only by with stock market returns shows a modest response of the Brazilian Central Bank to financial stress. |
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Does brazilian monetary policy respond to financial stress ?A política monetária brasileira responde a estress financeiro ?economia financeiraestresse financeiro. econometriaMonetary policy. financial economics. financial stress. econometricsPolítica monetáriaRegra de TaylorTaylorBrazilian Monetary Policy and Financial Stress Taylor Rules are an easy alternative to parametric model the response function of monetary authority to inflation as interest rates are the most common instrument for monetary policy. Nonetheless, a lot of research has been done on the subject: for example, Clarida, Gali and Gertler (2000) have incorporated the role for forward looking behavior through condition expectation operators, and results suggest that it is a useful benchmark in different regions. Although, this parametric relation was primarily suited for maintenance of low volatility and control of inflation, some authors argue that this setup can be extended to accommodate financial stresses. In this sense, we estimate an augmented Taylor Rule for Brazil from 2001 to 2018 by GMM, with moment conditions following closely Castro (2011). Our results suggest that the Brazilian Central Bank did not respond to the FCI proposed in the literature using a vector of house prices, stock market returns and exchange rates. However, our regressions with Taylor Rule model setups augmented only by with stock market returns shows a modest response of the Brazilian Central Bank to financial stress.Política monetária brasileira e estresse financeiro As regras de Taylor são uma alternativa fácil ao modelo paramétrico da função de resposta da autoridade monetária à inflação, uma vez que as taxas de juros são o instrumento mais comum para a política monetária. No entanto, um grande número de pesquisas tem sido feito no assunto: Clarida, Gali e Gertler (2000) incorporam o papel para o comportamento prospectivo através de operadores de expectativa de condição, e os resultados sugerem que é uma referência útil em diferentes regiões. Embora essa relação paramétrica tenha sido primariamente adequada para a manutenção da baixa volatilidade e controle da inflação, alguns autores argumentam que essa configuração pode ser estendida para acomodar as tensões financeiras. Nesse sentido, estimamos uma Regra de Taylor aumentada para o Brasil de 2001 a 2018 por GMM, com condições de momento seguindo de perto Castro (2011). Nossos resultados sugerem que o Banco Central não respondeu ao índice de condições financeiras proposto. Contudo, nossas regressões com modelos de Regra de Taylor aumentado apenas por retorno de ações mostram uma modesta reação do Banco Central a estresse financeiro.Biblioteca Digitais de Teses e Dissertações da USPBueno, Rodrigo de Losso da SilveiraLima, Fernando Moreira Couto de2019-05-09info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttp://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/12/12138/tde-28062019-165256/reponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USPinstname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)instacron:USPLiberar o conteúdo para acesso público.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesseng2019-11-06T16:40:02Zoai:teses.usp.br:tde-28062019-165256Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertaçõeshttp://www.teses.usp.br/PUBhttp://www.teses.usp.br/cgi-bin/mtd2br.plvirginia@if.usp.br|| atendimento@aguia.usp.br||virginia@if.usp.bropendoar:27212019-11-06T16:40:02Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)false |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Does brazilian monetary policy respond to financial stress ? A política monetária brasileira responde a estress financeiro ? |
| title |
Does brazilian monetary policy respond to financial stress ? |
| spellingShingle |
Does brazilian monetary policy respond to financial stress ? Lima, Fernando Moreira Couto de economia financeira estresse financeiro. econometria Monetary policy. financial economics. financial stress. econometrics Política monetária Regra de Taylor Taylor |
| title_short |
Does brazilian monetary policy respond to financial stress ? |
| title_full |
Does brazilian monetary policy respond to financial stress ? |
| title_fullStr |
Does brazilian monetary policy respond to financial stress ? |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Does brazilian monetary policy respond to financial stress ? |
| title_sort |
Does brazilian monetary policy respond to financial stress ? |
| author |
Lima, Fernando Moreira Couto de |
| author_facet |
Lima, Fernando Moreira Couto de |
| author_role |
author |
| dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Bueno, Rodrigo de Losso da Silveira |
| dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Lima, Fernando Moreira Couto de |
| dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
economia financeira estresse financeiro. econometria Monetary policy. financial economics. financial stress. econometrics Política monetária Regra de Taylor Taylor |
| topic |
economia financeira estresse financeiro. econometria Monetary policy. financial economics. financial stress. econometrics Política monetária Regra de Taylor Taylor |
| description |
Brazilian Monetary Policy and Financial Stress Taylor Rules are an easy alternative to parametric model the response function of monetary authority to inflation as interest rates are the most common instrument for monetary policy. Nonetheless, a lot of research has been done on the subject: for example, Clarida, Gali and Gertler (2000) have incorporated the role for forward looking behavior through condition expectation operators, and results suggest that it is a useful benchmark in different regions. Although, this parametric relation was primarily suited for maintenance of low volatility and control of inflation, some authors argue that this setup can be extended to accommodate financial stresses. In this sense, we estimate an augmented Taylor Rule for Brazil from 2001 to 2018 by GMM, with moment conditions following closely Castro (2011). Our results suggest that the Brazilian Central Bank did not respond to the FCI proposed in the literature using a vector of house prices, stock market returns and exchange rates. However, our regressions with Taylor Rule model setups augmented only by with stock market returns shows a modest response of the Brazilian Central Bank to financial stress. |
| publishDate |
2019 |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2019-05-09 |
| dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
| dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
| format |
masterThesis |
| status_str |
publishedVersion |
| dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/12/12138/tde-28062019-165256/ |
| url |
http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/12/12138/tde-28062019-165256/ |
| dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
| language |
eng |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
|
| dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Liberar o conteúdo para acesso público. info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| rights_invalid_str_mv |
Liberar o conteúdo para acesso público. |
| eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
| dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
| dc.coverage.none.fl_str_mv |
|
| dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Biblioteca Digitais de Teses e Dissertações da USP |
| publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Biblioteca Digitais de Teses e Dissertações da USP |
| dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP) instacron:USP |
| instname_str |
Universidade de São Paulo (USP) |
| instacron_str |
USP |
| institution |
USP |
| reponame_str |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP |
| collection |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP - Universidade de São Paulo (USP) |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
virginia@if.usp.br|| atendimento@aguia.usp.br||virginia@if.usp.br |
| _version_ |
1815258533075091456 |