Análise dos determinantes da taxa de juros para o segmento de pessoa jurídica e o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasil

Detalhes bibliográficos
Ano de defesa: 2021
Autor(a) principal: Rocha Sobrinho, Daniel lattes
Orientador(a): Divino, José Angelo lattes
Banca de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
Idioma: por
Instituição de defesa: Universidade Católica de Brasília
Programa de Pós-Graduação: Programa Stricto Sensu em Políticas Públicas
Departamento: Escola de Humanidades, Negócios e Direito
País: Brasil
Palavras-chave em Português:
Palavras-chave em Inglês:
Área do conhecimento CNPq:
Link de acesso: https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2937
Resumo: In Brazil, despite recent historical decreases in the basic rates of the economy, it was found that the average interest rates practiced in the Brazilian banking market remain high, especially when observing the market for micro, small and medium-sized companies. Thus, starting from a context where a highly concentrated sector, such as the banking sector, but with the relevant participation of a public bank, Banco do Brasil, the objective of this paper is to analyze the behavior of the main variables that influence the average interest rate practiced for the companies segment and verify, through estimation in an econometric model whether the allocation of the volume of credit aimed at the wholesale corporate segment (Large Companies) was entirely directed to the Micro, Small and Medium companies segment, could be an alternative to lower the rates currently practiced, via an increase of supply, reinforcing Banco do Brasil's role as economic regulator. For this purpose, data was collected from January 2012 to March 2021 on variables related to volume, default, macroeconomic aspects, in addition to the effect of the Corona Virus pandemic. Using an econometric multiple linear regression model of Ordinary Least Squares (MQO), it was possible to confirm that the increase in the supply of credit, by itself, is capable of decreasing the average rate charged by banks for Legal Entities. Thus, if Banco do Brasil adopted a policy to expand credit to Micro, Small and Medium-sized companies, by a strategic decision for exclusivity of operation with this segment, without the need for artificial interference in rates, it could influence the reduction of rates practiced by the banking market, thus acting as an economic regulator.
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spelling Divino, José Angelohttp://lattes.cnpq.br/4790508103951006http://lattes.cnpq.br/2672027054615085Rocha Sobrinho, Daniel2022-05-16T22:56:29Z2021-12-09ROCHA SOBRINHO, Daniel. Análise dos determinantes da taxa de juros para o segmento de pessoa jurídica e o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasil. 2021. 27 f. Dissertação (Programa Stricto Sensu em Políticas Públicas) - Universidade Católica de Brasília, Brasília, 2021.https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2937In Brazil, despite recent historical decreases in the basic rates of the economy, it was found that the average interest rates practiced in the Brazilian banking market remain high, especially when observing the market for micro, small and medium-sized companies. Thus, starting from a context where a highly concentrated sector, such as the banking sector, but with the relevant participation of a public bank, Banco do Brasil, the objective of this paper is to analyze the behavior of the main variables that influence the average interest rate practiced for the companies segment and verify, through estimation in an econometric model whether the allocation of the volume of credit aimed at the wholesale corporate segment (Large Companies) was entirely directed to the Micro, Small and Medium companies segment, could be an alternative to lower the rates currently practiced, via an increase of supply, reinforcing Banco do Brasil's role as economic regulator. For this purpose, data was collected from January 2012 to March 2021 on variables related to volume, default, macroeconomic aspects, in addition to the effect of the Corona Virus pandemic. Using an econometric multiple linear regression model of Ordinary Least Squares (MQO), it was possible to confirm that the increase in the supply of credit, by itself, is capable of decreasing the average rate charged by banks for Legal Entities. Thus, if Banco do Brasil adopted a policy to expand credit to Micro, Small and Medium-sized companies, by a strategic decision for exclusivity of operation with this segment, without the need for artificial interference in rates, it could influence the reduction of rates practiced by the banking market, thus acting as an economic regulator.No Brasil, apesar de recentes diminuições históricas nas taxas básicas da economia, verificou-se que as taxas médias de juros praticadas no mercado bancário brasileiro permanecem elevadas, principalmente quando se observa o mercado de pessoa jurídica de micro, pequenas e médias empresas. Partindo de um contexto onde se observa um setor com alta concentração, como o segmento bancário, mas com a participação relevante de um Banco público, o Banco do Brasil, o objetivo deste trabalho é analisar o comportamento das principais variáveis que influenciam a taxa de juros média praticada para o segmento de Pessoa Jurídica e verificar, por meio de estimação em um modelo econométrico, se a destinação do volume de crédito voltado para o segmento de atacado PJ (Grandes empresas) fosse direcionado em sua totalidade para o segmento de Micro, Pequenas e Médias empresas, poderia ser uma alternativa para baixar as taxas praticadas atualmente, via aumento de oferta, reforçando o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasil. Para esse fim, foi coletado dados de janeiro de 2012 a março de 2021 de variáveis relativas à volume, inadimplência, aspectos macroeconômicos, além do efeito da pandemia do Corona Vírus. Com a utilização de um modelo econométrico de regressão linear múltipla de Mínimo Quadrados Ordinários (MQO), foi possível confirmar que o aumento de oferta de crédito, por si só, é capaz de diminuir a taxa média praticada pelos bancos para as Pessoas Jurídicas. Assim, caso o Banco do Brasil adotasse uma política de ampliação de crédito para Micro, Pequenas e Médias empresas, via decisão estratégica pela exclusividade de operação com este segmento, sem necessidade de interferências artificiais nas taxas, poderia influenciar na redução das taxas praticadas pelo mercado bancário, atuando, desta forma, como regulador econômico.Submitted by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2022-05-16T22:56:17Z No. of bitstreams: 1 DanielRochaSobrinhoDissertacao2021.pdf: 944595 bytes, checksum: d088be16aaf6426c640c83a48674fa98 (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Sara Ribeiro (sara.ribeiro@ucb.br) on 2022-05-16T22:56:29Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 DanielRochaSobrinhoDissertacao2021.pdf: 944595 bytes, checksum: d088be16aaf6426c640c83a48674fa98 (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2022-05-16T22:56:29Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 DanielRochaSobrinhoDissertacao2021.pdf: 944595 bytes, checksum: d088be16aaf6426c640c83a48674fa98 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2021-12-09application/pdfhttps://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/retrieve/9750/DanielRochaSobrinhoDissertacao2021.pdf.jpgporUniversidade Católica de BrasíliaPrograma Stricto Sensu em Políticas PúblicasUCBBrasilEscola de Humanidades, Negócios e DireitoRegulaçãoTaxas de jurosBanco do BrasilInterest ratesRegulationCNPQ::CIENCIAS HUMANAS::CIENCIA POLITICA::POLITICAS PUBLICASAnálise dos determinantes da taxa de juros para o segmento de pessoa jurídica e o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasilinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UCBinstname:Universidade Católica de Brasília (UCB)instacron:UCBLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81905https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2937/1/license.txt75558dcf859532757239878b42f1c2c7MD51ORIGINALDanielRochaSobrinhoDissertacao2021.pdfDanielRochaSobrinhoDissertacao2021.pdfapplication/pdf944595https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2937/2/DanielRochaSobrinhoDissertacao2021.pdfd088be16aaf6426c640c83a48674fa98MD52TEXTDanielRochaSobrinhoDissertacao2021.pdf.txtDanielRochaSobrinhoDissertacao2021.pdf.txttext/plain57895https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2937/3/DanielRochaSobrinhoDissertacao2021.pdf.txtff4351ad787e1d618fbdc14da0367bfcMD53THUMBNAILDanielRochaSobrinhoDissertacao2021.pdf.jpgDanielRochaSobrinhoDissertacao2021.pdf.jpgimage/jpeg3342https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2937/4/DanielRochaSobrinhoDissertacao2021.pdf.jpg9e48760020278adcd477cde3d2a6625aMD54tede/29372022-05-17 13:00:52.488oai:bdtd.ucb.br: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 Digital de Teses e Dissertaçõeshttps://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/PRIhttps://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/oai/requestsdi@ucb.bropendoar:47812022-05-17T13:00:52Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UCB - Universidade Católica de Brasília (UCB)false
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv Análise dos determinantes da taxa de juros para o segmento de pessoa jurídica e o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasil
title Análise dos determinantes da taxa de juros para o segmento de pessoa jurídica e o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasil
spellingShingle Análise dos determinantes da taxa de juros para o segmento de pessoa jurídica e o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasil
Rocha Sobrinho, Daniel
Regulação
Taxas de juros
Banco do Brasil
Interest rates
Regulation
CNPQ::CIENCIAS HUMANAS::CIENCIA POLITICA::POLITICAS PUBLICAS
title_short Análise dos determinantes da taxa de juros para o segmento de pessoa jurídica e o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasil
title_full Análise dos determinantes da taxa de juros para o segmento de pessoa jurídica e o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasil
title_fullStr Análise dos determinantes da taxa de juros para o segmento de pessoa jurídica e o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasil
title_full_unstemmed Análise dos determinantes da taxa de juros para o segmento de pessoa jurídica e o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasil
title_sort Análise dos determinantes da taxa de juros para o segmento de pessoa jurídica e o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasil
author Rocha Sobrinho, Daniel
author_facet Rocha Sobrinho, Daniel
author_role author
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Divino, José Angelo
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/4790508103951006
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/2672027054615085
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Rocha Sobrinho, Daniel
contributor_str_mv Divino, José Angelo
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Regulação
Taxas de juros
Banco do Brasil
topic Regulação
Taxas de juros
Banco do Brasil
Interest rates
Regulation
CNPQ::CIENCIAS HUMANAS::CIENCIA POLITICA::POLITICAS PUBLICAS
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv Interest rates
Regulation
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv CNPQ::CIENCIAS HUMANAS::CIENCIA POLITICA::POLITICAS PUBLICAS
description In Brazil, despite recent historical decreases in the basic rates of the economy, it was found that the average interest rates practiced in the Brazilian banking market remain high, especially when observing the market for micro, small and medium-sized companies. Thus, starting from a context where a highly concentrated sector, such as the banking sector, but with the relevant participation of a public bank, Banco do Brasil, the objective of this paper is to analyze the behavior of the main variables that influence the average interest rate practiced for the companies segment and verify, through estimation in an econometric model whether the allocation of the volume of credit aimed at the wholesale corporate segment (Large Companies) was entirely directed to the Micro, Small and Medium companies segment, could be an alternative to lower the rates currently practiced, via an increase of supply, reinforcing Banco do Brasil's role as economic regulator. For this purpose, data was collected from January 2012 to March 2021 on variables related to volume, default, macroeconomic aspects, in addition to the effect of the Corona Virus pandemic. Using an econometric multiple linear regression model of Ordinary Least Squares (MQO), it was possible to confirm that the increase in the supply of credit, by itself, is capable of decreasing the average rate charged by banks for Legal Entities. Thus, if Banco do Brasil adopted a policy to expand credit to Micro, Small and Medium-sized companies, by a strategic decision for exclusivity of operation with this segment, without the need for artificial interference in rates, it could influence the reduction of rates practiced by the banking market, thus acting as an economic regulator.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2021-12-09
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2022-05-16T22:56:29Z
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dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv ROCHA SOBRINHO, Daniel. Análise dos determinantes da taxa de juros para o segmento de pessoa jurídica e o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasil. 2021. 27 f. Dissertação (Programa Stricto Sensu em Políticas Públicas) - Universidade Católica de Brasília, Brasília, 2021.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2937
identifier_str_mv ROCHA SOBRINHO, Daniel. Análise dos determinantes da taxa de juros para o segmento de pessoa jurídica e o papel de regulador econômico do Banco do Brasil. 2021. 27 f. Dissertação (Programa Stricto Sensu em Políticas Públicas) - Universidade Católica de Brasília, Brasília, 2021.
url https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2937
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