Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado

Detalhes bibliográficos
Ano de defesa: 2013
Autor(a) principal: Cavalcante, Daniel Menezes
Orientador(a): Crisóstomo, Vicente Lima
Banca de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
Idioma: por
Instituição de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Programa de Pós-Graduação: Não Informado pela instituição
Departamento: Não Informado pela instituição
País: Não Informado pela instituição
Palavras-chave em Português:
Link de acesso: http://www.repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/16163
Resumo: In economies where low interest rates provide small profitability to conservative investments, such as fixed-income securities, investors must subject themselves to greater risk in search for higher yields. In such scenarios, these investors take interest in the stock market, where the increase in risk is rewarded by expectations of higher earnings, despite the risk level being higher than registered by fixed-income securities. However, the Modern Portfolio Theory shows that this risk can be reduced by diversification of assets. This research’s goal is to determine whether a quantitative model based on Modern Portfolio Theory is able to diversify a portfolio, reducing its risk to levels below those of the market portfolio, while providing higher yields than market benchmarks. The tests were based on historical data from 36 securities traded at BOVESPA between 1999 and 2012, and were conducted in sample windows of 12, 36, 60 and 120 observations. In shorter periods of analysis, the results were not conclusive, but as the investment horizon was expanded, the minimum variance portfolio outperformed investments based on applications in CDI and based on the Bovespa Index.
id UFC-7_ddbf9be00d6d1482a8c009629bb3f08d
oai_identifier_str oai:repositorio.ufc.br:riufc/16163
network_acronym_str UFC-7
network_name_str Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)
repository_id_str
spelling Cavalcante, Daniel MenezesCrisóstomo, Vicente Lima2016-04-07T12:39:24Z2016-04-07T12:39:24Z2013CAVALCANTE, Daniel Menezes. Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado. 2013. 128 f. Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Federal do Ceará, Faculdade de Economia, Administração, Atuária e Contabilidade, Mestrado Profissional em Administração e Controladoria, Fortaleza-CE, 2013.http://www.repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/16163In economies where low interest rates provide small profitability to conservative investments, such as fixed-income securities, investors must subject themselves to greater risk in search for higher yields. In such scenarios, these investors take interest in the stock market, where the increase in risk is rewarded by expectations of higher earnings, despite the risk level being higher than registered by fixed-income securities. However, the Modern Portfolio Theory shows that this risk can be reduced by diversification of assets. This research’s goal is to determine whether a quantitative model based on Modern Portfolio Theory is able to diversify a portfolio, reducing its risk to levels below those of the market portfolio, while providing higher yields than market benchmarks. The tests were based on historical data from 36 securities traded at BOVESPA between 1999 and 2012, and were conducted in sample windows of 12, 36, 60 and 120 observations. In shorter periods of analysis, the results were not conclusive, but as the investment horizon was expanded, the minimum variance portfolio outperformed investments based on applications in CDI and based on the Bovespa Index.Quando a conjuntura econômica de um país propicia baixa taxa de juros de mercado, a rentabilidade de aplicações ditas seguras, como em renda fixa, deixa de ser negócio atrativo para investidores, que optam por submeter-se a um risco maior em busca de maiores rendimentos. Em tais cenários, investidores arriscam-se no mercado acionário, no qual ganhos maiores podem ser auferidos, apesar do risco superior ao da renda fixa. A Teoria Moderna do Portfólio mostra que esse risco pode ser reduzido pela diversificação de ativos. Esta pesquisa tem por objetivo verificar se um modelo quantitativo baseado na Teoria Moderna do Portfólio é capaz ajudar na diversificação de um portfólio, reduzindo risco a níveis inferiores aos da carteira de mercado, enquanto proporciona rendimentos superiores aos de s de mercado. Os testes utilizaram séries históricas de 36 ativos negociados na BOVESPA entre 1999 e 2012, e foram conduzidos em janelas de amostras de 12, 36, 60 e 120 observações. Os resultados mostram que a ampliação do horizonte de investimento permite a obtenção de desempenho superior do portfólio selecionado pela otimização baseada na mínima variância, comparativamente à aplicação livre de risco (CDI) e ao Índice Bovespa.InvestimentosFinançasCarteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercadoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisporreponame:Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)instname:Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)instacron:UFCinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81786http://repositorio.ufc.br/bitstream/riufc/16163/2/license.txt8c4401d3d14722a7ca2d07c782a1aab3MD52ORIGINAL2013_dis_dmcavalcante.pdf2013_dis_dmcavalcante.pdfapplication/pdf3418358http://repositorio.ufc.br/bitstream/riufc/16163/1/2013_dis_dmcavalcante.pdffbab28e1660a76d0c61523941b7faff2MD51riufc/161632019-01-18 15:31:46.837oai:repositorio.ufc.br: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Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://www.repositorio.ufc.br/ri-oai/requestbu@ufc.br || repositorio@ufc.bropendoar:2019-01-18T18:31:46Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC) - Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)false
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado
title Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado
spellingShingle Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado
Cavalcante, Daniel Menezes
Investimentos
Finanças
title_short Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado
title_full Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado
title_fullStr Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado
title_full_unstemmed Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado
title_sort Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado
author Cavalcante, Daniel Menezes
author_facet Cavalcante, Daniel Menezes
author_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Cavalcante, Daniel Menezes
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Crisóstomo, Vicente Lima
contributor_str_mv Crisóstomo, Vicente Lima
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Investimentos
Finanças
topic Investimentos
Finanças
description In economies where low interest rates provide small profitability to conservative investments, such as fixed-income securities, investors must subject themselves to greater risk in search for higher yields. In such scenarios, these investors take interest in the stock market, where the increase in risk is rewarded by expectations of higher earnings, despite the risk level being higher than registered by fixed-income securities. However, the Modern Portfolio Theory shows that this risk can be reduced by diversification of assets. This research’s goal is to determine whether a quantitative model based on Modern Portfolio Theory is able to diversify a portfolio, reducing its risk to levels below those of the market portfolio, while providing higher yields than market benchmarks. The tests were based on historical data from 36 securities traded at BOVESPA between 1999 and 2012, and were conducted in sample windows of 12, 36, 60 and 120 observations. In shorter periods of analysis, the results were not conclusive, but as the investment horizon was expanded, the minimum variance portfolio outperformed investments based on applications in CDI and based on the Bovespa Index.
publishDate 2013
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2013
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2016-04-07T12:39:24Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2016-04-07T12:39:24Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv CAVALCANTE, Daniel Menezes. Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado. 2013. 128 f. Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Federal do Ceará, Faculdade de Economia, Administração, Atuária e Contabilidade, Mestrado Profissional em Administração e Controladoria, Fortaleza-CE, 2013.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://www.repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/16163
identifier_str_mv CAVALCANTE, Daniel Menezes. Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado. 2013. 128 f. Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Federal do Ceará, Faculdade de Economia, Administração, Atuária e Contabilidade, Mestrado Profissional em Administração e Controladoria, Fortaleza-CE, 2013.
url http://www.repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/16163
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)
instname:Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)
instacron:UFC
instname_str Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)
instacron_str UFC
institution UFC
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)
collection Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv http://repositorio.ufc.br/bitstream/riufc/16163/2/license.txt
http://repositorio.ufc.br/bitstream/riufc/16163/1/2013_dis_dmcavalcante.pdf
bitstream.checksum.fl_str_mv 8c4401d3d14722a7ca2d07c782a1aab3
fbab28e1660a76d0c61523941b7faff2
bitstream.checksumAlgorithm.fl_str_mv MD5
MD5
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC) - Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv bu@ufc.br || repositorio@ufc.br
_version_ 1847793252386734080