Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado
| Ano de defesa: | 2013 |
|---|---|
| Autor(a) principal: | |
| Orientador(a): | |
| Banca de defesa: | |
| Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
| Tipo de acesso: | Acesso aberto |
| Idioma: | por |
| Instituição de defesa: |
Não Informado pela instituição
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| Programa de Pós-Graduação: |
Não Informado pela instituição
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| Departamento: |
Não Informado pela instituição
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| País: |
Não Informado pela instituição
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| Palavras-chave em Português: | |
| Link de acesso: | http://www.repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/16163 |
Resumo: | In economies where low interest rates provide small profitability to conservative investments, such as fixed-income securities, investors must subject themselves to greater risk in search for higher yields. In such scenarios, these investors take interest in the stock market, where the increase in risk is rewarded by expectations of higher earnings, despite the risk level being higher than registered by fixed-income securities. However, the Modern Portfolio Theory shows that this risk can be reduced by diversification of assets. This research’s goal is to determine whether a quantitative model based on Modern Portfolio Theory is able to diversify a portfolio, reducing its risk to levels below those of the market portfolio, while providing higher yields than market benchmarks. The tests were based on historical data from 36 securities traded at BOVESPA between 1999 and 2012, and were conducted in sample windows of 12, 36, 60 and 120 observations. In shorter periods of analysis, the results were not conclusive, but as the investment horizon was expanded, the minimum variance portfolio outperformed investments based on applications in CDI and based on the Bovespa Index. |
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Cavalcante, Daniel MenezesCrisóstomo, Vicente Lima2016-04-07T12:39:24Z2016-04-07T12:39:24Z2013CAVALCANTE, Daniel Menezes. Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado. 2013. 128 f. Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Federal do Ceará, Faculdade de Economia, Administração, Atuária e Contabilidade, Mestrado Profissional em Administração e Controladoria, Fortaleza-CE, 2013.http://www.repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/16163In economies where low interest rates provide small profitability to conservative investments, such as fixed-income securities, investors must subject themselves to greater risk in search for higher yields. In such scenarios, these investors take interest in the stock market, where the increase in risk is rewarded by expectations of higher earnings, despite the risk level being higher than registered by fixed-income securities. However, the Modern Portfolio Theory shows that this risk can be reduced by diversification of assets. This research’s goal is to determine whether a quantitative model based on Modern Portfolio Theory is able to diversify a portfolio, reducing its risk to levels below those of the market portfolio, while providing higher yields than market benchmarks. The tests were based on historical data from 36 securities traded at BOVESPA between 1999 and 2012, and were conducted in sample windows of 12, 36, 60 and 120 observations. In shorter periods of analysis, the results were not conclusive, but as the investment horizon was expanded, the minimum variance portfolio outperformed investments based on applications in CDI and based on the Bovespa Index.Quando a conjuntura econômica de um país propicia baixa taxa de juros de mercado, a rentabilidade de aplicações ditas seguras, como em renda fixa, deixa de ser negócio atrativo para investidores, que optam por submeter-se a um risco maior em busca de maiores rendimentos. Em tais cenários, investidores arriscam-se no mercado acionário, no qual ganhos maiores podem ser auferidos, apesar do risco superior ao da renda fixa. A Teoria Moderna do Portfólio mostra que esse risco pode ser reduzido pela diversificação de ativos. Esta pesquisa tem por objetivo verificar se um modelo quantitativo baseado na Teoria Moderna do Portfólio é capaz ajudar na diversificação de um portfólio, reduzindo risco a níveis inferiores aos da carteira de mercado, enquanto proporciona rendimentos superiores aos de s de mercado. Os testes utilizaram séries históricas de 36 ativos negociados na BOVESPA entre 1999 e 2012, e foram conduzidos em janelas de amostras de 12, 36, 60 e 120 observações. Os resultados mostram que a ampliação do horizonte de investimento permite a obtenção de desempenho superior do portfólio selecionado pela otimização baseada na mínima variância, comparativamente à aplicação livre de risco (CDI) e ao Índice Bovespa.InvestimentosFinançasCarteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercadoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisporreponame:Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)instname:Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)instacron:UFCinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81786http://repositorio.ufc.br/bitstream/riufc/16163/2/license.txt8c4401d3d14722a7ca2d07c782a1aab3MD52ORIGINAL2013_dis_dmcavalcante.pdf2013_dis_dmcavalcante.pdfapplication/pdf3418358http://repositorio.ufc.br/bitstream/riufc/16163/1/2013_dis_dmcavalcante.pdffbab28e1660a76d0c61523941b7faff2MD51riufc/161632019-01-18 15:31:46.837oai:repositorio.ufc.br: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Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://www.repositorio.ufc.br/ri-oai/requestbu@ufc.br || repositorio@ufc.bropendoar:2019-01-18T18:31:46Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC) - Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)false |
| dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado |
| title |
Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado |
| spellingShingle |
Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado Cavalcante, Daniel Menezes Investimentos Finanças |
| title_short |
Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado |
| title_full |
Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado |
| title_fullStr |
Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado |
| title_sort |
Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado |
| author |
Cavalcante, Daniel Menezes |
| author_facet |
Cavalcante, Daniel Menezes |
| author_role |
author |
| dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Cavalcante, Daniel Menezes |
| dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Crisóstomo, Vicente Lima |
| contributor_str_mv |
Crisóstomo, Vicente Lima |
| dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Investimentos Finanças |
| topic |
Investimentos Finanças |
| description |
In economies where low interest rates provide small profitability to conservative investments, such as fixed-income securities, investors must subject themselves to greater risk in search for higher yields. In such scenarios, these investors take interest in the stock market, where the increase in risk is rewarded by expectations of higher earnings, despite the risk level being higher than registered by fixed-income securities. However, the Modern Portfolio Theory shows that this risk can be reduced by diversification of assets. This research’s goal is to determine whether a quantitative model based on Modern Portfolio Theory is able to diversify a portfolio, reducing its risk to levels below those of the market portfolio, while providing higher yields than market benchmarks. The tests were based on historical data from 36 securities traded at BOVESPA between 1999 and 2012, and were conducted in sample windows of 12, 36, 60 and 120 observations. In shorter periods of analysis, the results were not conclusive, but as the investment horizon was expanded, the minimum variance portfolio outperformed investments based on applications in CDI and based on the Bovespa Index. |
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2013 |
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2013 |
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2016-04-07T12:39:24Z |
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2016-04-07T12:39:24Z |
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CAVALCANTE, Daniel Menezes. Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado. 2013. 128 f. Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Federal do Ceará, Faculdade de Economia, Administração, Atuária e Contabilidade, Mestrado Profissional em Administração e Controladoria, Fortaleza-CE, 2013. |
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http://www.repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/16163 |
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CAVALCANTE, Daniel Menezes. Carteiras de mínima variância: comparação intertemporal com índices de mercado. 2013. 128 f. Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Federal do Ceará, Faculdade de Economia, Administração, Atuária e Contabilidade, Mestrado Profissional em Administração e Controladoria, Fortaleza-CE, 2013. |
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