Efeitos aleatórios no sucesso: análise crítica do modelo Talent vs Luck

Detalhes bibliográficos
Ano de defesa: 2021
Autor(a) principal: Francisco Rosendo Martins de Andrade
Orientador(a): Não Informado pela instituição
Banca de defesa: Não Informado pela instituição
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
Idioma: por
Instituição de defesa: Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
Programa de Pós-Graduação: Não Informado pela instituição
Departamento: Não Informado pela instituição
País: Não Informado pela instituição
Link de acesso: https://hdl.handle.net/1843/49159
Resumo: In this work, we analyse the Talent vs Luck (TvL) model, which was proposed to investigate the roles of luck and talent in the success of individuals within a society. The authors propose a model of capital evolution (synonymous to “success”) based on lucky and unlucky events. Individuals that are subjected to unlucky events lose capital, while those that are subjected to lucky events may gain capital, depending on their talent. In this dissertation, some inadequacies of the model are pointed out, such as the fact that the authors do not analyze the effect of the number of iterations, which is a key factor in the analysis of the model. Given such problems, we have proposed an equivalent model, defined in terms of an ensemble of random walks, which allows us a more rigorous analysis of the results. Finally, we present some variations of this model.
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spelling 2023-01-26T13:02:46Z2025-09-09T01:21:12Z2023-01-26T13:02:46Z2021-08-25https://hdl.handle.net/1843/49159In this work, we analyse the Talent vs Luck (TvL) model, which was proposed to investigate the roles of luck and talent in the success of individuals within a society. The authors propose a model of capital evolution (synonymous to “success”) based on lucky and unlucky events. Individuals that are subjected to unlucky events lose capital, while those that are subjected to lucky events may gain capital, depending on their talent. In this dissertation, some inadequacies of the model are pointed out, such as the fact that the authors do not analyze the effect of the number of iterations, which is a key factor in the analysis of the model. Given such problems, we have proposed an equivalent model, defined in terms of an ensemble of random walks, which allows us a more rigorous analysis of the results. Finally, we present some variations of this model.porUniversidade Federal de Minas GeraisSucessoPasseio aleatórioProcessos estocásticosFísica estatísticaSorteEfeitos aleatórios no sucesso: análise crítica do modelo Talent vs LuckImpact of random effects on individual success: critical analysis of the Talent vs Luck modelinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisFrancisco Rosendo Martins de Andradeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFMGinstname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)instacron:UFMGhttp://lattes.cnpq.br/2187128280055625Lucas Lages Wardilhttp://lattes.cnpq.br/6843147192950245Lucas Lages WardilLucas Álvares da Silva MolJulio Cesar Siqueira RochaNeste trabalho, será apresentado e discutido o modelo Talent vs Luck (TvL), que investiga o papel da sorte e do talento para o sucesso de um indivíduo dentro de uma sociedade. Os autores propõem uma dinâmica de evolução de capital (sinônimo de “sucesso”) baseada em eventos de sorte e de azar, na qual aqueles que passam por eventos de azar perdem capital, e os que passam por eventos de sorte têm chances de ganhar capital ou permanecer com a mesma quantia, dependendo do talento. Nessa dissertação, serão apontadas algumas inadequações do modelo, como, por exemplo, o fato dos autores não analisarem o efeito do número de iterações, que é um fator importantíssimo na análise do modelo. Tendo em vista tais inadequações, nós propusemos um modelo equivalente, definido em termos de um ensemble de passeios aleatórios, que nos permite uma análise mais rigorosa dos resultados. Por fim, apresentaremos algumas variações desse modelo.BrasilPrograma de Pós-Graduação em FísicaUFMGLICENSElicense.txttext/plain2118https://repositorio.ufmg.br//bitstreams/7db687dd-e885-46c9-b3c2-1ec9fe04cb42/downloadcda590c95a0b51b4d15f60c9642ca272MD51falseAnonymousREADORIGINALefeitos-aleatorios-no-sucesso.pdfapplication/pdf2322698https://repositorio.ufmg.br//bitstreams/f32eda9b-f2c3-443f-81af-0df3b30a9aba/download40e590fe5d881ca2eb3b9118235bbe6cMD52trueAnonymousREAD1843/491592025-09-08 22:21:12.018open.accessoai:repositorio.ufmg.br:1843/49159https://repositorio.ufmg.br/Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttps://repositorio.ufmg.br/oairepositorio@ufmg.bropendoar:2025-09-09T01:21:12Repositório Institucional da UFMG - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)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
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Efeitos aleatórios no sucesso: análise crítica do modelo Talent vs Luck
dc.title.alternative.none.fl_str_mv Impact of random effects on individual success: critical analysis of the Talent vs Luck model
title Efeitos aleatórios no sucesso: análise crítica do modelo Talent vs Luck
spellingShingle Efeitos aleatórios no sucesso: análise crítica do modelo Talent vs Luck
Francisco Rosendo Martins de Andrade
Sucesso
Passeio aleatório
Processos estocásticos
Física estatística
Sorte
title_short Efeitos aleatórios no sucesso: análise crítica do modelo Talent vs Luck
title_full Efeitos aleatórios no sucesso: análise crítica do modelo Talent vs Luck
title_fullStr Efeitos aleatórios no sucesso: análise crítica do modelo Talent vs Luck
title_full_unstemmed Efeitos aleatórios no sucesso: análise crítica do modelo Talent vs Luck
title_sort Efeitos aleatórios no sucesso: análise crítica do modelo Talent vs Luck
author Francisco Rosendo Martins de Andrade
author_facet Francisco Rosendo Martins de Andrade
author_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Francisco Rosendo Martins de Andrade
dc.subject.other.none.fl_str_mv Sucesso
Passeio aleatório
Processos estocásticos
Física estatística
Sorte
topic Sucesso
Passeio aleatório
Processos estocásticos
Física estatística
Sorte
description In this work, we analyse the Talent vs Luck (TvL) model, which was proposed to investigate the roles of luck and talent in the success of individuals within a society. The authors propose a model of capital evolution (synonymous to “success”) based on lucky and unlucky events. Individuals that are subjected to unlucky events lose capital, while those that are subjected to lucky events may gain capital, depending on their talent. In this dissertation, some inadequacies of the model are pointed out, such as the fact that the authors do not analyze the effect of the number of iterations, which is a key factor in the analysis of the model. Given such problems, we have proposed an equivalent model, defined in terms of an ensemble of random walks, which allows us a more rigorous analysis of the results. Finally, we present some variations of this model.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2021-08-25
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2023-01-26T13:02:46Z
2025-09-09T01:21:12Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2023-01-26T13:02:46Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/1843/49159
url https://hdl.handle.net/1843/49159
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
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dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFMG
instname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)
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